Vyškov 0-0 Zlin – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Vyškov at 48%, yet in-form Zlin provide a compelling counter-argument — this Vyškov vs Zlin fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
Vyškov and Zlin meet at Sportovní areál Drnovice in Czech Liga, Relegation Round. This fixture gets under way on Sunday 4 June 2023 at 16:00 UTC.
Form
Vyškov (all games): 0W 0D 1L across 1 Czech Liga fixtures this term — 0.00 PPG. Last five: L. They are averaging 0.00 goals per game and conceding 1.00 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. Vyškov have played only a handful of Czech Liga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Zlin have collected 1.50 PPG across 10 Czech Liga outings this season: 4W 3D 3L. Last five: L W W D W. Their scoring rate of 1.20 per game is modest, conceding 1.20 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market.
On the road, Zlin have gone 1W 4D 5L from 10 away fixtures this term (0.70 PPG). Away from home they average 0.90 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture. Their away PPG of 0.70 is notably below their overall 1.50 — form away from home has been a clear weakness this season.
The travelling side arrive in better shape. Zlin are 1.50 PPG clear of Vyškov in recent Czech Liga fixtures (1.50 vs 0.00). Backing the visitors outright or on Draw No Bet are both valid approaches where the price allows.
H2H Analysis
Neither side has dominated this fixture. The last 1 head-to-head meetings have produced 0 wins for Vyškov, 1 for Zlin and 0 draws — an even split that leaves the H2H largely neutral as a betting input.
Scoring has been limited when these teams have met. The 1 previous contests averaged 1.0 goals, making the Under 2.5 the historically backed angle in the goals market. The most recent clash, on 1 Jun 2023, ended 0–1 with Zlin winning.
With a balanced win record and just 1.0 goals per game historically, the H2H points toward a tight, low-scoring contest. Under 2.5 goals has the strongest statistical grounding from the fixture history regardless of which side wins.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Vyškov 1.69 xG and Zlin 1.19 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Vyškov attack 0.850 / defence 1.150 | Zlin attack 0.831 / defence 1.194. League average goals — home 1.668 / away 1.251. Data: 0 Vyškov games / 60 Zlin games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Vyškov 48% | Draw 27% | Zlin 26%. Fair-value odds: Vyškov 2.08 | Draw 3.70 | Zlin 3.85. Vyškov hold a narrow Poisson edge at 48% — the draw (27%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 55% | BTTS probability 58% | Total xG 2.89. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 55% — the 2.89 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS probability of 58% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Picks & Verdict
On the Poisson output, Vyškov are the pick at 48% — moderate model lean. Note a divergence: in-form Zlin (1.50 PPG) cuts against the Poisson lean — consider the strength-adjusted model over surface-level form results. Draw probability of 27% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Vyškov if the outright odds are short.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.89 combined xG gives a 55% probability to Over 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration — though form averaging only 1.9 goals per game points in the other direction.
🔮 Your Prediction
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Vyškov vs Zlin | Competition: Czech Liga, Relegation Round | Venue: Sportovní areál Drnovice • Kick-off: Sunday 4 Jun 2023, 16:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Vyškov 48% | Draw 27% | Zlin 26% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 55% | BTTS 58% | xG Vyškov 1.69 / Zlin 1.19 • Poisson strength factors: Vyškov attack 0.850 / def 1.150 | Zlin attack 0.831 / def 1.194 | league avg home 1.668 / away 1.251 • Poisson stance: Vyškov (48%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.69
Vyškov xG
Expected Goals
1.19
Zlin xG
58%
BTTS
80%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
33%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Vyškov vs Zlin kick off?
Vyškov vs Zlin kicked off at 16:00 on Sunday 4 June 2023 at Sportovní areál Drnovice.
What was the final score in Vyškov vs Zlin?
Vyškov 0 - 0 Zlin.
Where is Vyškov vs Zlin being played?
The match is being played at Sportovní areál Drnovice.
What competition is Vyškov vs Zlin part of?
Vyškov vs Zlin is a Relegation Round fixture in the Czech Liga (Czech-Republic).
Who is favourite to win Vyškov vs Zlin?
Our statistical model gives Vyškov a 48% chance of winning, Zlin a 26% chance, and a 27% chance of a draw — making Vyškov the favourite.
Will both teams score in Vyškov vs Zlin?
Our model estimates a 58% probability that both Vyškov and Zlin will score (BTTS).
Will Vyškov vs Zlin have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 55%.
What is the head-to-head record between Vyškov and Zlin?
Record (1 meetings): Vyškov 0W | Draws 0 | Zlin 1W.
What form are Vyškov and Zlin in?
Vyškov (all comps): 0W-0D-1L in 1 | 0.00 PPG | GF 0.00 / GA 1.00 | L5 L. Zlin (all comps): 4W-3D-3L in 10 | 1.50 PPG | GF 1.20 / GA 1.20 | L5 L-W-W-D-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Vyškov's attacking strength (0.85x league average) is weighed against Zlin's defensive record (1.19x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.69. Flip it around — Zlin's attack (0.83x) against Vyškov's defence (1.15x) — and the away total comes out at 1.19.
These ratings are built from 0/60 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 12.7%. Close behind: 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (8.0%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 30% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Vyškov Win
48%
2.10
27%
3.75
26%
3.90
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.3%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.5%
Home win
1 – 0
9.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.69
Vyškov xG
Total xG
2.89
1.19
Zlin xG
2.10
48%
Home win
3.75
27%
Draw
3.90
26%
Away win
Goals Markets
78%
Over 1.5
1.28
22%
Under 1.5
4.55
55%
Over 2.5
1.82
45%
Under 2.5
2.22
33%
Over 3.5
3.03
67%
Under 3.5
1.49
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
58%
BTTS Yes
1.72
42%
BTTS No
2.39
Clean Sheet
30%
3.30
18%
5.44
Win to Nil
14%
6.92
5%
21.23
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6 | 6.7 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.4 | 11.3 | 6.7 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.0 | 9.5 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.5 | 5.4 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Vyškov vs Zlin?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 12.7%.
How many goals are Vyškov and Zlin expected to score?
The model projects 1.69 expected goals for Vyškov and 1.19 for Zlin, a combined total of 2.89.
How confident is the prediction model for Vyškov vs Zlin?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 48%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Vyškov come into this having played 1 games, going 0W 0D 1L for 0.00 points per game. Their last five reads L. It's still early in the season for Vyškov, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
On the other side, Zlin sit at 3.00 PPG from 1 outings (1W 0D 0L), a run that reads W across their last five. It's still early in the season for Zlin, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Zlin carry the stronger recent form of the two, 3.00 PPG clear of Vyškov — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Vyškov are averaging 0.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game recently; Zlin are on 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both sides have been difficult to break down recently — a combination that often points to a tighter, lower-scoring game than the average fixture.
On BTTS specifically: Vyškov have seen both teams score in 0% of their recent games; Zlin in 0%.
Defensively: Zlin in 100% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 1 Results — Czech Liga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Vyškov
Early Season
Zlin
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Vyškov and Zlin in coming into this match?
Vyškov have gone 0W 0D 1L in their last 1 games (0.00 PPG), while Zlin have gone 1W 0D 0L in their last 1 (3.00 PPG).
Have Vyškov or Zlin been keeping clean sheets recently?
Vyškov have kept a clean sheet in 0% of their recent games, Zlin in 100%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 2 times since June 2023 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in Czech Liga. It has been a while since the last meeting — 4 June 2023, some 1 year back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Last 2 Meetings
0
Vyškov
1
Draws
1
Zlin
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Vyškov and Zlin?
From 2 meetings on record, Vyškov have won 0, Zlin have won 1, and 1 have been drawn.
When did Vyškov and Zlin last play each other?
They last met on 4 June 2023, when Vyškov 0-0 Zlin.
Who has won more matches between Vyškov and Zlin?
Zlin have the better head-to-head record, with 1 wins from 2 meetings.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Vyškov home games / Zlin away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Vyškov play Zlin?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 0% of Vyškov's recent matches and 0% of Zlin's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Vyškov vs Zlin usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 0% of Vyškov's recent games and 0% of Zlin's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Vyškov and Zlin tend to score early?
Vyškov have had a goal before half-time in 0% of their recent matches, Zlin in 0% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Vyškov's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Vyškov and Zlin finished level at 0-0 at Sportovní areál Drnovice, Relegation Round, in the Czech Liga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Vyškov 1.69 xG and Zlin 1.19 xG, a combined 2.89. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Vyškov fell 1.7 short of their projected output. Zlin landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Vyškov attack 0.85 / defence 1.15 against Zlin attack 0.83 / defence 1.19, drawn from 0/60 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Vyškov 48% | Draw 27% | Zlin 26%, with Vyškov to win its most likely call at 48%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 27%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 55%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 80% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 58% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 0% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Vyškov 0%, Zlin 0%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 0%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Form vs Result
On form, Zlin arrived the stronger side — 3.00 PPG against 0.00. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Vyškov conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line. Zlin managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.