Sigma Olomouc vs Teplice Prediction & Preview
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Sigma Olomouc at 38% — neither recent form nor the head-to-head data gives a clear steer either way as Sigma Olomouc face Teplice.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis
Teplice make the trip to Andruv stadion to face Sigma Olomouc in Czech Liga (matchday 24). The match kicks off on Saturday 6 March 2027 at 14:00 UK time.
Form & Momentum
Sigma Olomouc have collected 1.70 PPG across their last 10 games: 5W 2D 3L. Last five: D W D W L. Offensively they are averaging 1.50 goals per game, with 1.40 conceded. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings (30%).
In front of their own supporters, Sigma Olomouc have posted 6W 1D 3L from their last 10 home games — 1.90 PPG. They are averaging 2.10 goals per home game — a prolific scoring rate in front of their own fans. 4 home clean sheets from their last 10 home games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground.
Teplice's record over their last 10 games: 4W 2D 4L (1.40 PPG). Last five: D L D W L. Their scoring rate of 1.20 per game is modest, conceding 1.20 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings (30%).
On the road, Teplice have gone 6W 1D 3L in their last 10 away fixtures (1.90 PPG). They are averaging 2.00 goals per away game — strong road scoring that makes them a threat even without home support. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context. Their away PPG of 1.90 exceeds their overall 1.40 — they actually perform better on the road than their aggregate form implies.
Both sides are running at similar form levels — 1.70 PPG for Sigma Olomouc against 1.40 for Teplice. There is no clear form edge to exploit here; other signals need to take the lead.
H2H Analysis
The head-to-head record is closely matched — across the 10 H2H matches in our data, Teplice edge it 4 wins to 3, with 3 draws. Neither side has a commanding advantage.
The 10 H2H matches in our data averaged 2.1 goals per game — a neutral rate that gives no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent of those, on 11 Oct 2026, ended Sigma Olomouc 1–1 Teplice — a draw.
The head-to-head data offers no strong steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the model and current market pricing should carry more weight for this fixture.
Trading Data
Sigma Olomouc goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (last 48 games, 23 of them at home): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 65% of their matches in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 77% of the time; BTTS occurs in 35% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 52% of games (home games).
Teplice goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (last 48 games, 23 of them away): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 65% of their matches in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 65% of the time; of the 11 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 27%; BTTS occurs in 56% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 48% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Sigma Olomouc 50% versus Teplice 50%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Sigma Olomouc 56% | Teplice 42%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Sigma Olomouc 1.47 xG and Teplice 1.34 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Sigma Olomouc attack 1.227 / defence 0.884 | Teplice attack 1.177 / defence 0.879. League average goals — home 1.365 / away 1.292. Data: built from Sigma Olomouc's last 44 games and Teplice's last 44.
Result probabilities: Sigma Olomouc 38% | Draw 30% | Teplice 32%. Fair-value odds: Sigma Olomouc 2.65 | Draw 3.32 | Teplice 3.12. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome reaches 45%. The draw at 30% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 53% | BTTS Yes probability 59% | Total xG 2.82. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 53%/47% — the total xG of 2.82 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS Yes at 59% is only a slight lean — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Final Verdict
Poisson rates Sigma Olomouc as the most likely outcome at 38% — marginal model lean. Draw probability of 30% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Sigma Olomouc if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 32% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.82 combined xG gives a 53% probability to Over 2.5 — reasonable conviction, supported by recent form (Sigma Olomouc's last 10 home games and Teplice's last 10 away games) averaging 3.4 goals per game.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 59%. Form rates corroborate — both teams scored in: Sigma Olomouc 50% (last 10 home games) | Teplice 60% (last 10 away games).
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Sigma Olomouc vs Teplice | Competition: Czech Liga, matchday 24 | Venue: Andruv stadion • Kick-off: Saturday 6 March 2027 at 14:00 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Sigma Olomouc 38% | Draw 30% | Teplice 32% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 53% (Under 47%) | BTTS Yes 59% (No 41%) | xG Sigma Olomouc 1.47 / Teplice 1.34 • Poisson strength factors: Sigma Olomouc attack 1.227 / def 0.884 | Teplice attack 1.177 / def 0.879 | league avg home 1.365 / away 1.292 • Poisson stance: Sigma Olomouc (38%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.47
Sigma Olomouc xG
Expected Goals
1.34
Teplice xG
59%
BTTS
80%
Over 1.5
53%
Over 2.5
31%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Sigma Olomouc vs Teplice FAQs
What time does Sigma Olomouc vs Teplice kick off?
Sigma Olomouc vs Teplice is scheduled to kick off at 14:00 UK time on Saturday 6 March 2027 at Andruv stadion.
Where is Sigma Olomouc vs Teplice being played?
The match is being played at Andruv stadion.
What competition is Sigma Olomouc vs Teplice part of?
Sigma Olomouc vs Teplice is a Czech Liga fixture (matchday 24) (Czech-Republic).
Who is favourite to win Sigma Olomouc vs Teplice?
Our statistical model gives Sigma Olomouc a 38% chance of winning, Teplice a 32% chance, and a 30% chance of a draw — making Sigma Olomouc the favourite.
Will both teams score in Sigma Olomouc vs Teplice?
Our model estimates a 59% probability that both Sigma Olomouc and Teplice will score, so it leans towards BTTS Yes.
Will Sigma Olomouc vs Teplice have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 53%, so it leans towards over 2.5 goals.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
The model rates Sigma Olomouc's attack at 1.23x the league average against Teplice's defence at 0.88x — combine the two and it projects 1.47 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — Teplice's attack (1.18x) against Sigma Olomouc's defence (0.88x) — and the away total comes out at 1.34.
These ratings are built from Sigma Olomouc's last 44 games and Teplice's last 44 — a full enough recent sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 13.4% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 2-1 (8.7%), 1-2 (8.0%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 30% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Sigma Olomouc Win
38%
2.65
30%
3.32
32%
3.12
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.8%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
8.8%
Home win
2 – 1
8.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.47
Sigma Olomouc xG
Total xG
2.82
1.34
Teplice xG
2.65
38%
Home win
3.32
30%
Draw
3.12
32%
Away win
Goals Markets
77%
Over 1.5
1.30
23%
Under 1.5
4.35
53%
Over 2.5
1.89
47%
Under 2.5
2.13
31%
Over 3.5
3.23
69%
Under 3.5
1.45
15%
Over 4.5
6.67
85%
Under 4.5
1.18
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
59%
BTTS Yes
1.68
41%
BTTS No
2.47
Clean Sheet
26%
3.84
23%
4.35
Win to Nil
10%
10.15
7%
13.57
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 8.8 | 11.8 | 8.0 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.5 | 8.7 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.2 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Sigma Olomouc vs Teplice Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for Sigma Olomouc vs Teplice?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.4%.
How many goals are Sigma Olomouc and Teplice expected to score?
The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Sigma Olomouc and 1.34 for Teplice, a combined total of 2.82.
How confident is the prediction model for Sigma Olomouc vs Teplice?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 38%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Sigma Olomouc's recent record stands at 22W 10D 16L from 48 games, a 1.58 PPG return, with D-W-D-W-L in the last five.
Teplice, meanwhile, have gone 16W 15D 17L across 48 games — 1.31 PPG, with D-L-D-W-L in their last five.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.58 PPG for Sigma Olomouc against 1.31 for Teplice. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
Home & Away Splits
At home specifically, Sigma Olomouc have managed 13W 5D 5L from their last 23 home games — 1.91 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Teplice's away record stands at 8W 8D 7L across their last 23 away games, a 1.39 PPG haul.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Sigma Olomouc come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Sigma Olomouc are averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game recently; Teplice are on 1.27 scored and 1.27 conceded.
Last 48 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Sigma Olomouc
Blended
Teplice
Blended
Sigma Olomouc (Home) vs Teplice (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
Sigma Olomouc
Blended
Teplice
Blended
❓ Sigma Olomouc vs Teplice Form FAQs
What form are Sigma Olomouc and Teplice in coming into this match?
Sigma Olomouc have gone 22W 10D 16L in their last 48 games (1.58 PPG), while Teplice have gone 16W 15D 17L in their last 48 (1.31 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Sigma Olomouc at home or Teplice away?
Sigma Olomouc's home record (1.91 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Sigma Olomouc at home: 1.91 PPG; Teplice away: 1.39 PPG.
Have Sigma Olomouc or Teplice been keeping clean sheets recently?
Sigma Olomouc have kept a clean sheet in 29% of their recent games, Teplice in 33%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
We have 10 H2H matches between these sides on record, dating back to February 2022 — enough to show some patterns. All of them came in Czech Liga. The most recent was as recently as 11 October 2026, so it is a fresh reference point.
Records & Recent Trends
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Sigma Olomouc have gone 2W 2D 1L from the 5 H2H matches in our data played on their own ground against Teplice — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 10 Meetings
3
Sigma Olomouc
3
Draws
4
Teplice
Recent Meetings
❓ Sigma Olomouc vs Teplice H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between Sigma Olomouc and Teplice?
Across the 10 head-to-head matches in our data, Sigma Olomouc have won 3, Teplice have won 4, and 3 have been drawn.
When did Sigma Olomouc and Teplice last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 11 October 2026: Teplice 1-1 Sigma Olomouc.
Who has won more matches between Sigma Olomouc and Teplice?
Teplice have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from the 10 head-to-head matches in our data.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Sigma Olomouc are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 65% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 39% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 20% of those situations.
Teplice are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 65% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 25% of those situations.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Sigma Olomouc 35%, Teplice 56% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 52% (Sigma Olomouc) and 48% (Teplice).
On the defensive side: Sigma Olomouc keep a clean sheet in 56% of their matches; Teplice in 30%; Teplice in 26%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Sigma Olomouc home games / Teplice away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Sigma Olomouc vs Teplice Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in Sigma Olomouc and Teplice matches?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 35% of Sigma Olomouc's recent matches and 56% of Teplice's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Are Sigma Olomouc and Teplice matches usually high-scoring?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 52% of Sigma Olomouc's recent games and 48% of Teplice's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Sigma Olomouc and Teplice matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 65% of Sigma Olomouc's recent matches and 65% of Teplice's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
The match report will be available once the game has finished.