Plzen vs Teplice – Predictions
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Plzen's attacking strength (1.29x league average) is weighed against Teplice's defensive record (0.90x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.75. The same calculation in reverse, Teplice's attack versus Plzen's defence, projects 0.82 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 46/46 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 12.4%. Close behind: 1-0 (12.0%), 2-0 (11.7%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 36% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Plzen Win
58%
1.73
26%
3.81
16%
6.30
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
13.4%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
11.7%
Home win
1 – 1
11.0%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.75
Plzen xG
Total xG
2.57
0.82
Teplice xG
1.73
58%
Home win
3.81
26%
Draw
6.30
16%
Away win
Goals Markets
73%
Over 1.5
1.37
27%
Under 1.5
3.70
47%
Over 2.5
2.13
53%
Under 2.5
1.89
26%
Over 3.5
3.85
74%
Under 3.5
1.35
12%
Over 4.5
8.33
88%
Under 4.5
1.14
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
48%
BTTS Yes
2.09
52%
BTTS No
1.91
Clean Sheet
44%
2.28
17%
5.74
Win to Nil
25%
3.93
3%
36.15
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.7 | 6.3 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 13.4 | 11.0 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – |
| 2 | 11.7 | 9.6 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 6.8 | 5.6 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Plzen vs Teplice?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 12.4%.
How many goals are Plzen and Teplice expected to score?
The model projects 1.75 expected goals for Plzen and 0.82 for Teplice, a combined total of 2.57.
How confident is the prediction model for Plzen vs Teplice?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 58%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.