FK Jablonec vs České Budějovice – Predictions
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🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Working from FK Jablonec's attack rating (1.25) and České Budějovice's defence rating (1.50), the model arrives at 2.83 expected goals for the home side. Flip it around — České Budějovice's attack (0.83x) against FK Jablonec's defence (0.83x) — and the away total comes out at 0.79.
These ratings are built from 46/46 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 2-0 emerges as the single most likely result, at 10.7%. Close behind: 3-0 (10.1%), 2-1 (8.5%). Together the top three scorelines make up 29% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
FK Jablonec Win
78%
1.28
15%
6.49
7%
15.36
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
10.7%
Home win
Most likely
3 – 0
10.1%
Home win
2 – 1
8.5%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.83
FK Jablonec xG
Total xG
3.62
0.79
České Budějovice xG
1.28
78%
Home win
6.49
15%
Draw
15.36
7%
Away win
Goals Markets
88%
Over 1.5
1.14
12%
Under 1.5
8.33
70%
Over 2.5
1.43
30%
Under 2.5
3.33
49%
Over 3.5
2.04
51%
Under 3.5
1.96
30%
Over 4.5
3.33
70%
Under 4.5
1.43
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
53%
BTTS Yes
1.90
47%
BTTS No
2.11
Clean Sheet
45%
2.21
6%
16.88
Win to Nil
35%
2.83
0%
–
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 1 | 7.6 | 6.0 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 10.7 | 8.5 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 10.1 | 8.0 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 7.1 | 5.6 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for FK Jablonec vs České Budějovice?
Our Poisson model rates 2-0 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 10.7%.
How many goals are FK Jablonec and České Budějovice expected to score?
The model projects 2.83 expected goals for FK Jablonec and 0.79 for České Budějovice, a combined total of 3.62.
How confident is the prediction model for FK Jablonec vs České Budějovice?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 78%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.