Artis vs Zlin – Pre-Match Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Zlin at 55%, yet other data sources diverge — this Artis vs Zlin fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis
Zlin make the trip to Town Stadium Karvina to face Artis in Czech Liga, Regular Season - 13. The match kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 14:00 UTC.
Form
Artis (all games): 1W 1D 6L across 8 Czech Liga fixtures this term — 0.50 PPG. Last five: D L L L W. They are averaging 0.88 goals per game and conceding 2.50 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. However, 2.50 goals conceded per game is a concern — opposing attacks have exploited them regularly. Both teams have scored in 62% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. Artis have played only a handful of Czech Liga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
In front of their own supporters this season, Artis have posted 0W 0D 4L at Town Stadium Karvina — 0.00 PPG. At home they are averaging 1.00 goals scored and 3.50 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 75% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture. Somewhat surprisingly, their home PPG of 0.00 lags behind their overall 0.50 — the home advantage has not translated into superior results at Town Stadium Karvina this season.
Zlin's overall Czech Liga record this term: 1W 1D 8L from 10 games (0.40 PPG). Last five: L L L L L. Their scoring rate of 0.90 per game is modest, conceding 2.00 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Conceding 2.00 per game is a high rate — their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed regularly this season. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Zlin have played only a handful of Czech Liga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
When travelling in Czech Liga this season, Zlin have posted 0W 3D 7L from 10 away outings — 0.30 PPG. Away from home they average 1.00 goals scored and 2.30 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture.
Both sides are running at similar form levels — 0.50 PPG for Artis against 0.40 for Zlin. There is no clear form edge to exploit here; other signals need to take the lead.
The BTTS picture is exceptionally clear (using home/away splits) — Artis register both teams scoring in 75% of relevant games, Zlin in 70%. Both sides above 70% makes BTTS Yes one of the strongest standalone angles in this fixture.
Trading & In-Play
Artis — key trading statistics (8 games, 4 at home): they score before half-time in 100% of fixtures in home games; BTTS occurs in 75% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 100% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 38%; they fail to score in 38% of games.
Zlin — key trading statistics (8 games, 4 at away): they score before half-time in 100% of fixtures in away games; BTTS occurs in 75% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 75% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 38%; they fail to score in 50% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Artis 62% versus Zlin 38%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Artis 75% | Zlin 38%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Artis 1.54 xG and Zlin 2.32 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Artis attack 0.769 / defence 1.641 | Zlin attack 1.040 / defence 1.434. League average goals — home 1.396 / away 1.360. Artis's attack strength of 0.769 is below the league average — the 1.54 xG projection reflects a team that scores at a discount to the division norm. Zlin bring a strong defensive rating of 1.434 — this is suppressing Artis's projected output below what their attack strength alone would suggest. Data: 6 Artis games / 36 Zlin games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Artis 25% | Draw 20% | Zlin 55%. Fair-value odds: Artis 4.00 | Draw 5.00 | Zlin 1.82. The model has a clear lean to Zlin (55%) — a 30pp gap over the next-most-likely outcome reflects a meaningful statistical advantage.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 74% | BTTS probability 71% | Total xG 3.86. Over 2.5 is the model's clear signal at 74% — a total xG of 3.86 means the expected score alone exceeds the 2.5 threshold, making the Over not just likely but structurally supported by both sides' attack/defence profiles. BTTS Yes at 71% reflects that both xG figures (1.54 / 2.32) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Final Verdict
Poisson rates Zlin as the most likely outcome at 55% — clear model lean. Draw No Bet is worth pricing alongside the outright: 20% draw probability makes the stalemate a live outcome even at this conviction level.
The Poisson model projects 3.86 xG in total — Over 2.5 at 74% — reasonable confidence, supported by form averaging 3.9 goals per game.
Poisson assigns a 71% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: Artis 75% | Zlin 70% BTTS from recent games.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Artis vs Zlin | Competition: Czech Liga, Regular Season - 13 | Venue: Town Stadium Karvina • Kick-off: Saturday 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Artis 25% | Draw 20% | Zlin 55% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 74% | BTTS 71% | xG Artis 1.54 / Zlin 2.32 • Poisson strength factors: Artis attack 0.769 / def 1.641 | Zlin attack 1.040 / def 1.434 | league avg home 1.396 / away 1.360 • Poisson stance: Zlin (55%) — strong lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.54
Artis xG
Expected Goals
2.32
Zlin xG
71%
BTTS
90%
Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Artis vs Zlin kick off?
Artis vs Zlin is scheduled to kick off at 14:00 on Saturday 31 October 2026 at Town Stadium Karvina.
Where is Artis vs Zlin being played?
The match is being played at Town Stadium Karvina.
What competition is Artis vs Zlin part of?
Artis vs Zlin is a Regular Season - 13 fixture in the Czech Liga (Czech-Republic).
Who is favourite to win Artis vs Zlin?
Our statistical model gives Artis a 25% chance of winning, Zlin a 55% chance, and a 20% chance of a draw — making Zlin the favourite.
Will both teams score in Artis vs Zlin?
Our model estimates a 71% probability that both Artis and Zlin will score (BTTS).
Will Artis vs Zlin have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 74%.
What is the head-to-head record between Artis and Zlin?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Artis and Zlin in?
Artis (all comps): 1W-1D-6L in 8 | 0.50 PPG | GF 0.88 / GA 2.50 | L5 D-L-L-L-W. Zlin (all comps): 1W-1D-8L in 10 | 0.40 PPG | GF 0.90 / GA 2.00 | L5 L-L-L-L-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
The model rates Artis's attack at 0.77x the league average against Zlin's defence at 1.43x — combine the two and it projects 1.54 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — Zlin's attack (1.04x) against Artis's defence (1.64x) — and the away total comes out at 2.32.
These ratings are built from 6/36 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-2 carries the highest individual probability at 8.7% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 1-1 (8.5%), 1-3 (6.8%). Together the top three scorelines make up 24% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Zlin Win
25%
3.98
20%
5.07
55%
1.81
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 2
8.7%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
7.5%
Draw
1 – 3
6.8%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.54
Artis xG
Total xG
3.86
2.32
Zlin xG
3.98
25%
Home win
5.07
20%
Draw
1.81
55%
Away win
Goals Markets
90%
Over 1.5
1.11
10%
Under 1.5
10.00
74%
Over 2.5
1.35
26%
Under 2.5
3.85
54%
Over 3.5
1.85
46%
Under 3.5
2.17
34%
Over 4.5
2.94
66%
Under 4.5
1.52
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
71%
BTTS Yes
1.41
29%
BTTS No
3.43
Clean Sheet
10%
10.20
21%
4.66
Win to Nil
2%
40.59
12%
8.45
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.1 | 4.9 | 5.7 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| 1 | 3.2 | 7.5 | 8.7 | 6.8 | 3.9 | 1.8 |
| 2 | 2.5 | 5.8 | 6.7 | 5.2 | 3.0 | 1.4 |
| 3 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Artis vs Zlin?
Our Poisson model rates 1-2 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 8.7%.
How many goals are Artis and Zlin expected to score?
The model projects 1.54 expected goals for Artis and 2.32 for Zlin, a combined total of 3.86.
How confident is the prediction model for Artis vs Zlin?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 55%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
Artis's recent record stands at 1W 1D 6L from 8 games, a 0.50 PPG return, with D-L-L-L-W in the last five. It's still early in the season for Artis, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Zlin, meanwhile, have gone 1W 0D 7L across 8 games — 0.38 PPG, with L-L-L-L-L in their last five. It's still early in the season for Zlin, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 0.50 PPG for Artis against 0.38 for Zlin. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
How They Fare by Venue
At home specifically, Artis have managed 0W 0D 4L from 4 games — 0.00 PPG in front of their own supporters. That actually lags their 0.50 PPG overall record — home advantage hasn't been translating into results for them lately.
Zlin's away record stands at 0W 0D 4L across 4 trips, a 0.00 PPG haul.
Attack vs Defence
Artis are averaging 0.88 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game recently; Zlin are on 0.75 scored and 1.88 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Artis have seen both teams score in 62% of their recent games.
Last 8 Results — Czech Liga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Artis
Early Season
Zlin
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Artis and Zlin in coming into this match?
Artis have gone 1W 1D 6L in their last 8 games (0.50 PPG), while Zlin have gone 1W 0D 7L in their last 8 (0.38 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Artis at home or Zlin away?
Artis's home record (0.00 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Artis at home: 0.00 PPG; Zlin away: 0.00 PPG.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
Artis are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 100% of their matches.
Zlin are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 100% of their matches.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS has landed consistently for both sides recently — 75% for Artis, 75% for Zlin — a strong two-way scoring signal.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 100% for Artis and 75% for Zlin. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 75% and 75% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Artis home games / Zlin away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Artis play Zlin?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 75% of Artis's games and 75% of Zlin's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Artis vs Zlin usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 100% of Artis's matches and 75% of Zlin's.
Do Artis and Zlin tend to score early?
Artis have had a goal before half-time in 100% of their recent matches, Zlin in 100% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
The match report will be available once the game has finished.