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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Tuesday 10 December 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists seven fixtures on Tuesday 10 December 2024. Leeds vs Middlesbrough led the list at 55% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 32%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Championship supplies seven of the top 7, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship Β· England
Burnley
0 : 0 FT
Derby
Win 53%
Draw 31%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Burnley Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 19%
Championship Β· England
Luton
2 : 1 FT
Stoke City
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Championship Β· England
Plymouth
1 : 2 FT
Swansea
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Portsmouth
0 : 0 FT
Norwich
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Championship Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
0 : 1 FT
Blackburn
Win 28%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Sunderland
1 : 1 FT
Bristol City
Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Championship Β· England
Leeds
3 : 1 FT
Middlesbrough
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%

Showing 7 of 7 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Tuesday 10 December 2024?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Leeds vs Middlesbrough at 55% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.