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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Tuesday 18 April 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 37 fixtures on Tuesday 18 April 2023. Fatih Karagümrük vs Ümraniyespor sits top on 76% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 76% down to 26%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División Β· Chile
Curico Unido
0 : 1 FT
Union Espanola
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Superettan Β· Sweden
GIF Sundsvall
0 : 3 FT
Ostersunds FK
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
4 : 2 FT
Ümraniyespor
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 20%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Alanyaspor
1 : 4 FT
Galatasaray
Win 27%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Dhafra
1 : 3 FT
Khorfakkan
Win 35%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
2 : 2 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Bataeh
0 : 1 FT
Dibba Al-Fujairah
Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
3 : 1 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 31%
Draw 24%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Championship Β· England
Blackpool
0 : 2 FT
West Brom
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Championship Β· England
Rotherham
2 : 2 FT
Burnley
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Sheffield Utd
1 : 0 FT
Bristol City
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Championship Β· England
Sunderland
1 : 1 FT
Huddersfield
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Championship Β· England
Stoke City
0 : 1 FT
Wigan
Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
League One Β· England
Accrington ST
1 : 2 FT
Peterborough
Win 19%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
League One Β· England
Bristol Rovers
1 : 2 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 24%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 47%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
League One Β· England
Burton Albion
1 : 1 FT
Bolton
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 47%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Cambridge United
1 : 2 FT
Wycombe
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
League One Β· England
Exeter City
1 : 2 FT
Derby
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Forest Green
0 : 0 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 12%
Draw 20%
Win 68%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–2 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Ipswich
2 : 1 FT
Port Vale
βœ“ Win 87%
Draw 9%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 75% BTTS No 56% Ipswich Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 3–0 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Lincoln
0 : 0 FT
Barnsley
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Milton Keynes Dons
0 : 1 FT
Charlton
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Oxford United
1 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Shrewsbury
1 : 2 FT
Plymouth
Win 32%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League Two Β· England
Carlisle
2 : 2 FT
Stockport County
Win 35%
βœ“ Draw 37%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 17%
League Two Β· England
Crawley Town
0 : 0 FT
Colchester
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Gillingham
2 : 0 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 27%
Draw 35%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
League Two Β· England
Grimsby
1 : 0 FT
Barrow
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 35%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
League Two Β· England
Harrogate Town
3 : 0 FT
Walsall
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Newport County
1 : 2 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 31%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Rochdale
2 : 2 FT
Tranmere
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Salford City
2 : 0 FT
Hartlepool
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Stevenage
1 : 0 FT
Doncaster
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Sutton Utd
1 : 2 FT
Northampton
Win 30%
Draw 37%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 16%
League Two Β· England
Swindon Town
1 : 0 FT
Bradford
Win 20%
Draw 33%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
Championship Β· England
Millwall
0 : 1 FT
Birmingham
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 0 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 21%
Draw 26%
Win 53%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%

Showing 37 of 37 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Tuesday 18 April 2023?

37 fixtures met the criteria, led by Fatih Karagümrük vs Ümraniyespor at 76% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.