Sign in Register
πŸ”’

Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Wednesday 25 January 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

Ten fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 25 January 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Bayer Leverkusen vs VfL Bochum at 68% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 33%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Bundesliga supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga Β· Germany
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 2 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
1 : 4 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 26%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Vitesse
2 : 2 FT
Twente
Win 23%
Draw 35%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
2 : 0 FT
Heerenveen
Win 24%
Draw 34%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Freiburg
1 : 1 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Augsburg
1 : 0 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Werder Bremen
1 : 2 FT
Union Berlin
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
1 : 0 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Feyenoord
2 : 0 FT
NEC Nijmegen
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 32%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%

Showing 10 of 10 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Wednesday 25 January 2023?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayer Leverkusen vs VfL Bochum at 68% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.