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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 16 September 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

34 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 16 September 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Antwerp vs Seraing United at 70% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 32%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Khon Kaen United
0 : 0 FT
Chiangrai United
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
0 : 1 FT
Al Bataeh
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
2 : 0 FT
Al-Dhafra
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
1 : 1 FT
Damac
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Abha
1 : 1 FT
Al-Fayha
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Piast Gliwice
1 : 1 FT
Slask Wroclaw
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Sandhausen
2 : 3 FT
Hannover 96
Win 32%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Eintracht Braunschweig
2 : 1 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 34%
Draw 23%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
2 : 1 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Galatasaray
2 : 1 FT
Konyaspor
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Hatayspor
0 : 4 FT
Kayserispor
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
0 : 0 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
3 : 3 FT
Roda
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
1 : 2 FT
Almere City FC
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
2 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
4 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
3 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
1 : 2 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
0 : 3 FT
Heracles
Win 24%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
1 : 1 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
1 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Deinze
0 : 2 FT
Dender
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
K. Lierse S.K.
2 : 3 FT
RSC Anderlecht II
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3 : 0 FT
Al Wehda Club
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Al-Hilal Saudi FC Clean Sheet 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 1 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Legia Warszawa
3 : 2 FT
Miedz Legnica
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Serie B Β· Italy
Brescia
1 : 0 FT
Benevento
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Serie A Β· Italy
Salernitana
1 : 2 FT
Lecce
Win 49%
Draw 33%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
2 : 1 FT
Seraing United
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
✓ Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Premier League Β· England
Aston Villa
1 : 0 FT
Southampton
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· England
Nottingham Forest
2 : 3 FT
Fulham
Win 33%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 35%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Auxerre
1 : 3 FT
Lorient
Win 32%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
La Liga Β· Spain
Valladolid
0 : 1 FT
Cadiz
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Portimonense
1 : 0 FT
Chaves
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%

Showing 34 of 34 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 16 September 2022?

34 fixtures met the criteria, led by Antwerp vs Seraing United at 70% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.