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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Wednesday 27 April 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists eight fixtures on Wednesday 27 April 2022. Fiorentina vs Udinese led the list at 54% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 31%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies three of the top 8, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División Β· Chile
Union Espanola
2 : 2 FT
Cobresal
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
0 : 4 FT
Udinese
Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Wolfsberger AC
1 : 1 FT
Austria Vienna
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Sturm Graz
2 : 1 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Rapid Vienna
2 : 2 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Serie A Β· Italy
Atalanta
4 : 4 FT
Torino
Win 37%
Draw 34%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
2 : 1 FT
Inter
Win 21%
Draw 30%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
2 : 0 FT
Cardiff
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%

Showing 8 of 8 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Wednesday 27 April 2022?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Fiorentina vs Udinese at 54% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.