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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Monday 7 February 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Monday 7 February 2022. Tondela vs Benfica sits top on 73% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 27%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Radomiak Radom
1 : 1 FT
Wisla Plock
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
2 : 0 FT
Jong PSV U21
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 22%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
1 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
3 : 2 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 20%
Draw 28%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 17%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
4 : 1 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Tondela
1 : 3 FT
Benfica
Win 12%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 71%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Paris FC
2 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
Win 35%
Draw 37%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 16%
Serie A Β· Italy
Salernitana
2 : 2 FT
Spezia
Win 19%
Draw 29%
Win 52%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
La Liga Β· Spain
Athletic Club
2 : 1 FT
Espanyol
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primera División Β· Chile
A. Italiano
1 : 2 FT
Nublense
Win 34%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Moreirense
4 : 1 FT
Belenenses
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 36%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Primera División Β· Chile
Curico Unido
4 : 0 FT
Huachipato
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%

Showing 12 of 12 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Monday 7 February 2022?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Tondela vs Benfica at 73% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.