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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Saturday 9 October 2021

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 32 fixtures on Saturday 9 October 2021. Emmen vs Excelsior sits top on 70% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 16%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
York United
1 : 1 FT
Atlético Ottawa
Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
League Two Β· England
Forest Green
0 : 2 FT
Swindon Town
Win 31%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 40%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Nong Bua Pitchaya
1 : 2 FT
Chiangrai United
Win 24%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
BG Pathum United
0 : 3 FT
Police Tero
Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
0 : 2 FT
Bangkok United
Win 43%
Draw 33%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Muangthong United
3 : 1 FT
Khon Kaen United
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League One Β· England
Ipswich
2 : 1 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League One Β· England
Plymouth
2 : 1 FT
Burton Albion
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 19%
League One Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
1 : 0 FT
Bolton
Win 24%
Draw 24%
Win 51%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Wycombe
2 : 0 FT
Gillingham
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Barrow
1 : 1 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
League Two Β· England
Bristol Rovers
3 : 0 FT
Carlisle
Win 34%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Harrogate Town
6 : 1 FT
Scunthorpe
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
League Two Β· England
Hartlepool
2 : 1 FT
Northampton
Win 36%
Draw 38%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 67%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 19%
League Two Β· England
Mansfield Town
0 : 0 FT
Oldham
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Newport County
0 : 0 FT
Bradford
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
League Two Β· England
Rochdale
0 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
Win 36%
Draw 34%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
League Two Β· England
Stevenage
2 : 2 FT
Exeter City
Win 28%
Draw 33%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Sutton Utd
4 : 3 FT
Port Vale
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Walsall
2 : 1 FT
Salford City
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
2 : 0 FT
MVV
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
Primera División Β· Chile
A. Italiano
2 : 3 FT
Palestino
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
0 : 1 FT
Excelsior
Win 50%
Draw 21%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Primera División Β· Chile
Everton de Vina
1 : 0 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 29%
Draw 32%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
2 : 1 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Fluminense
0 : 0 FT
Atletico Goianiense
Win 25%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
3 : 1 FT
Ceara
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 25%
Win 8%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 67% Atletico-MG Clean Sheet 62%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 19%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Sport Recife
1 : 0 FT
Corinthians
Win 21%
Draw 42%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 84% ✓ BTTS No 74% Corinthians Clean Sheet 57%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 25%
Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Cavalry FC
1 : 1 FT
FC Edmonton
Win 35%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Primera División Β· Chile
Antofagasta
1 : 0 FT
D. Melipilla
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Fortaleza EC
0 : 3 FT
Flamengo
Win 18%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
0 : 2 FT
Bahia
Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%

Showing 32 of 32 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 9 October 2021?

32 fixtures met the criteria, led by Emmen vs Excelsior at 70% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.