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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Monday 11 October 2021

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

Three matches cleared our threshold on Monday 11 October 2021. HFX Wanderers FC vs Pacific FC led the list at 45% in the Canadian Premier League.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
HFX Wanderers FC
1 : 0 FT
Pacific FC
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Primera División Β· Chile
O'Higgins
1 : 0 FT
Santiago Wanderers
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Valour
3 : 1 FT
Forge
Win 22%
Draw 34%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 18%

Showing 3 of 3 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Monday 11 October 2021?

three fixtures met the criteria, led by HFX Wanderers FC vs Pacific FC at 45% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.