Today's Correct Score Predictions

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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 1 October 2021

Tue 28 Wed 29 Thu 30 Fri 1 Sat 2 Sun 3 Mon 4

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

37 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 1 October 2021. The strongest reading belongs to FC Volendam vs Almere City FC at 73% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 26%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Chile

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Thai League 1 · Thailand

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 55%

Model Score 1–0 · 15%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 55%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 60%

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

Model Score 0–1 · 14%

Premier League · Ukraine

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Allsvenskan · Sweden

Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%

Model Score 2–1 · 10%

Süper Lig · Turkey

Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Süper Lig · Turkey

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia

Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%

Model Score 1–0 · 11%

Eredivisie · Netherlands

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 69%

Model Score 1–1 · 9%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%

Model Score 2–1 · 9%

Primeira Liga · Portugal

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Bundesliga · Germany

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Model Score 2–0 · 10%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 70%

Model Score 1–1 · 9%

Serie B · Italy

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Championship · England

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Serie A · Italy

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Premier Division · Ireland

Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Ligue 1 · France

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Model Score 0–1 · 14%

La Liga · Spain

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%

✓ Model Score 1–0 · 16%

Premier Division · Ireland

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Premier Division · Ireland

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Primeira Liga · Portugal

Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 61%

Model Score 0–0 · 17%

Showing 37 of 37 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Likely Draw Tightly Contested Over 2.5 Goals

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 1 October 2021?

37 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Volendam vs Almere City FC at 73% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.