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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Thursday 5 August 2021

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists six fixtures on Thursday 5 August 2021. Chongqing Lifan vs Qingdao Huanghai sits top on 57% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 25%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League supplies four of the top 6, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Forge
0 : 1 FT
York United
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Pacific FC
2 : 1 FT
Valour
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Super League Β· China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
0 : 2 FT
Guangzhou R&F
Win 31%
Draw 41%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 18%
Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
4 : 2 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
Win 30%
Draw 35%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League Β· China
Chongqing Lifan
1 : 0 FT
Qingdao Huanghai
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 10%
Super League Β· China
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
2 : 0 FT
Henan Jianye
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 14%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%

Showing 6 of 6 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Thursday 5 August 2021?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Chongqing Lifan vs Qingdao Huanghai at 57% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.