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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Sunday 5 July 2020

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

Ten fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 5 July 2020. Bodo/Glimt vs Brann sits top on 67% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 67% down to 32%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies six of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
1 : 0 FT
Malmo FF
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
AIK Stockholm
1 : 1 FT
Falkenbergs FF
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Sirius
2 : 1 FT
Orebro SK
Win 24%
Draw 24%
Win 52%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
BK Hacken
3 : 0 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
2 : 1 FT
Mjondalen
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
5 : 0 FT
Brann
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 21%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stromsgodset
2 : 2 FT
Kristiansund BK
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sandefjord
0 : 3 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 33%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
ODD Ballklubb
0 : 0 FT
Haugesund
Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stabaek
0 : 3 FT
Rosenborg
Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%

Showing 10 of 10 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 5 July 2020?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Bodo/Glimt vs Brann at 67% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.