ODD Ballklubb 0-0 Haugesund – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates ODD Ballklubb at 44%, yet other data sources diverge — this ODD Ballklubb vs Haugesund fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis
Haugesund make the trip to Skagerak Arena to face ODD Ballklubb in Eliteserien, Regular Season - 6. The match kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2020 at 17:00 UTC.
Form & Momentum
ODD Ballklubb have collected 1.20 PPG across 5 Eliteserien outings this season: 2W 0D 3L. Last five: L L W W L. They are averaging 2.00 goals per game — a high-scoring output that makes them a genuine attacking threat in any fixture. 1 clean sheet from 5 outings provides some defensive foundation. ODD Ballklubb have played only a handful of Eliteserien games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
At home at Skagerak Arena, ODD Ballklubb have gone 1W 0D 2L this season (3 games, 1.00 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.67 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 67% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture.
Haugesund's overall Eliteserien record this term: 2W 1D 2L from 5 games (1.40 PPG). Last five: L L D W W. Their scoring rate of 1.20 per game is modest, conceding 2.00 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Conceding 2.00 per game is a high rate — their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed regularly this season. 2 clean sheets in 5 outings (40%) underlines their defensive solidity. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. Haugesund have played only a handful of Eliteserien games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Both sides are running at similar form levels — 1.20 PPG for ODD Ballklubb against 1.40 for Haugesund. There is no clear form edge to exploit here; other signals need to take the lead.
In terms of goals, both squads have been finding the net consistently (using overall form) — ODD Ballklubb have seen both teams score in 67% of their games, Haugesund in 60%. That combined rate is a strong statistical case for BTTS Yes as a standalone play.
Trading & In-Play
ODD Ballklubb — key trading statistics (5 games): they score before half-time in 80% of fixtures; BTTS occurs in 40% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 80% of games; Over 3.5 in 60%; they fail to score in 40% of games.
Haugesund — key trading statistics (5 games): they score before half-time in 60% of fixtures; BTTS occurs in 60% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 60% of games; Over 3.5 in 40%; they keep a clean sheet 40% of the time.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — ODD Ballklubb 40% versus Haugesund 60%; no strong lean in either direction. Over 2.5 goals is well-supported by both sides' in-play profiles (ODD Ballklubb 80% | Haugesund 60%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects ODD Ballklubb 1.82 xG and Haugesund 1.55 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: ODD Ballklubb attack 0.993 / defence 1.371 | Haugesund attack 0.741 / defence 1.442. League average goals — home 1.270 / away 1.530. Haugesund bring a strong defensive rating of 1.442 — this is suppressing ODD Ballklubb's projected output below what their attack strength alone would suggest. Data: 5 ODD Ballklubb games / 5 Haugesund games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: ODD Ballklubb 44% | Draw 23% | Haugesund 33%. Fair-value odds: ODD Ballklubb 2.27 | Draw 4.35 | Haugesund 3.03. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 23% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 66% | BTTS probability 66% | Total xG 3.37. Over 2.5 is the model's clear signal at 66% — a total xG of 3.37 means the expected score alone exceeds the 2.5 threshold, making the Over not just likely but structurally supported by both sides' attack/defence profiles. BTTS Yes at 66% reflects that both xG figures (1.82 / 1.55) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Picks & Verdict
On the Poisson output, ODD Ballklubb are the pick at 44% — marginal model lean. Draw probability of 23% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on ODD Ballklubb if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 33% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
Poisson projects 3.37 total expected goals, pointing to Over 2.5 at 66% probability — reasonable conviction, supported by form averaging 3.6 goals per game.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 66% on Yes. Form rates corroborate: ODD Ballklubb 67% | Haugesund 60% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 33% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: ODD Ballklubb vs Haugesund | Competition: Eliteserien, Regular Season - 6 | Venue: Skagerak Arena • Kick-off: Sunday 5 Jul 2020, 17:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: ODD Ballklubb 44% | Draw 23% | Haugesund 33% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 66% | BTTS 66% | xG ODD Ballklubb 1.82 / Haugesund 1.55 • Poisson strength factors: ODD Ballklubb attack 0.993 / def 1.371 | Haugesund attack 0.741 / def 1.442 | league avg home 1.270 / away 1.530 • Poisson stance: ODD Ballklubb (44%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.82
ODD Ballklubb xG
Expected Goals
1.55
Haugesund xG
66%
BTTS
85%
Over 1.5
66%
Over 2.5
44%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does ODD Ballklubb vs Haugesund kick off?
ODD Ballklubb vs Haugesund kicked off at 17:00 on Sunday 5 July 2020 at Skagerak Arena.
What was the final score in ODD Ballklubb vs Haugesund?
ODD Ballklubb 0 - 0 Haugesund.
Where is ODD Ballklubb vs Haugesund being played?
The match is being played at Skagerak Arena.
What competition is ODD Ballklubb vs Haugesund part of?
ODD Ballklubb vs Haugesund is a Regular Season - 6 fixture in the Eliteserien (Norway).
Who is favourite to win ODD Ballklubb vs Haugesund?
Our statistical model gives ODD Ballklubb a 44% chance of winning, Haugesund a 33% chance, and a 23% chance of a draw — making ODD Ballklubb the favourite.
Will both teams score in ODD Ballklubb vs Haugesund?
Our model estimates a 66% probability that both ODD Ballklubb and Haugesund will score (BTTS).
Will ODD Ballklubb vs Haugesund have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 66%.
What is the head-to-head record between ODD Ballklubb and Haugesund?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are ODD Ballklubb and Haugesund in?
ODD Ballklubb (all comps): 2W-0D-3L in 5 | 1.20 PPG | GF 2.00 / GA 1.60 | L5 L-L-W-W-L. Haugesund (all comps): 2W-1D-2L in 5 | 1.40 PPG | GF 1.20 / GA 2.00 | L5 L-L-D-W-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
The model rates ODD Ballklubb's attack at 0.99x the league average against Haugesund's defence at 1.44x — combine the two and it projects 1.82 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — Haugesund's attack (0.74x) against ODD Ballklubb's defence (1.37x) — and the away total comes out at 1.55.
These ratings are built from 5/5 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 11.0% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 2-1 (8.8%), 1-2 (7.5%). Together the top three scorelines make up 27% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
ODD Ballklubb Win
44%
2.26
23%
4.43
33%
3.01
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.7%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.8%
Home win
1 – 2
7.5%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.82
ODD Ballklubb xG
Total xG
3.37
1.55
Haugesund xG
2.26
44%
Home win
4.43
23%
Draw
3.01
33%
Away win
Goals Markets
85%
Over 1.5
1.18
15%
Under 1.5
6.67
66%
Over 2.5
1.52
34%
Under 2.5
2.94
44%
Over 3.5
2.27
56%
Under 3.5
1.79
25%
Over 4.5
4.00
75%
Under 4.5
1.33
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
66%
BTTS Yes
1.51
34%
BTTS No
2.95
Clean Sheet
21%
4.74
16%
6.16
Win to Nil
9%
10.72
5%
18.52
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.4 | 5.3 | 4.1 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 6.2 | 9.7 | 7.5 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5.7 | 8.8 | 6.9 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 3.4 | 5.3 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for ODD Ballklubb vs Haugesund?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 11.0%.
How many goals are ODD Ballklubb and Haugesund expected to score?
The model projects 1.82 expected goals for ODD Ballklubb and 1.55 for Haugesund, a combined total of 3.37.
How confident is the prediction model for ODD Ballklubb vs Haugesund?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 44%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Across their last 5 outings, ODD Ballklubb have picked up 1.20 PPG on a 2W 0D 3L record — L-L-W-W-L across the most recent five. It's still early in the season for ODD Ballklubb, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Haugesund's form line: 2W 1D 2L from 5 games, 1.40 PPG, last five L-L-D-W-W. It's still early in the season for Haugesund, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.20 PPG for ODD Ballklubb against 1.40 for Haugesund. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
ODD Ballklubb are averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game recently; Haugesund are on 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Haugesund in 60%.
Defensively: Haugesund in 40% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 5 Results — Eliteserien
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
ODD Ballklubb
Early Season
Haugesund
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are ODD Ballklubb and Haugesund in coming into this match?
ODD Ballklubb have gone 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 games (1.20 PPG), while Haugesund have gone 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 (1.40 PPG).
Have ODD Ballklubb or Haugesund been keeping clean sheets recently?
ODD Ballklubb have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their recent games, Haugesund in 40%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 10 times since July 2020 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in Eliteserien. It has been a while since the last meeting — 1 December 2024, some 4 years back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Records & Recent Trends
There's a clear current trend here: Haugesund have taken the last 2 head-to-head results.
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Haugesund won 0-4 on 16 May 2022, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, ODD Ballklubb have gone 1W 2D 2L from 5 meetings on their own ground against Haugesund — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 10 Meetings
2
ODD Ballklubb
4
Draws
4
Haugesund
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between ODD Ballklubb and Haugesund?
From 10 meetings on record, ODD Ballklubb have won 2, Haugesund have won 4, and 4 have been drawn.
When did ODD Ballklubb and Haugesund last play each other?
They last met on 1 December 2024, when Haugesund 2-1 ODD Ballklubb.
Who has won more matches between ODD Ballklubb and Haugesund?
Haugesund have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
ODD Ballklubb are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 80% of their matches.
Haugesund are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 60% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 20% of those situations.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — ODD Ballklubb 40%, Haugesund 60% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 80% for ODD Ballklubb and 60% for Haugesund. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 60% and 40% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Haugesund in 40%; ODD Ballklubb have failed to score in 40% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = ODD Ballklubb home games / Haugesund away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when ODD Ballklubb play Haugesund?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 40% of ODD Ballklubb's recent matches and 60% of Haugesund's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is ODD Ballklubb vs Haugesund usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 80% of ODD Ballklubb's matches and 60% of Haugesund's.
Do ODD Ballklubb and Haugesund tend to score early?
ODD Ballklubb have had a goal before half-time in 80% of their recent matches, Haugesund in 60% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at ODD Ballklubb's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Skagerak Arena, Regular Season - 6, as ODD Ballklubb and Haugesund drew 0-0 in the Eliteserien. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting ODD Ballklubb 1.82 xG and Haugesund 1.55 xG, a combined 3.37. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. ODD Ballklubb fell 1.8 short of their projected output. Haugesund landed 1.6 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of ODD Ballklubb attack 0.99 / defence 1.37 against Haugesund attack 0.74 / defence 1.44, drawn from 5/5 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it ODD Ballklubb 44% | Draw 23% | Haugesund 33%, with ODD Ballklubb to win its most likely call at 44%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 23% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 66%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 85% and missed. Over 3.5 was 44% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 66% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 70% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (ODD Ballklubb 80%, Haugesund 60%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
ODD Ballklubb's trading profile (5 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 40% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 40% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Haugesund's trading profile (5 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 40% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — ODD Ballklubb 1.20 PPG, Haugesund 1.40 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. ODD Ballklubb managed 0 against a 2.00 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.60 average — tighter than their form line. Haugesund managed 0 against a 1.20 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 2.00 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.