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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 30 January 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 30 January 2026. Lens vs Le Havre led the list at 53% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 30%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 · France
Lens
1 : 0 FT
Le Havre
✓ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Lens Clean Sheet 53%
#2 La Liga · Spain
Espanyol
1 : 2 FT
Alaves
Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#3 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
1 : 0 FT
Al Okhdood
✓ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 59%
#4 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
RAAL La Louvière
1 : 1 FT
Gent
Win 23%
Draw 30%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#5 Serie B · Italy
Bari
0 : 3 FT
Palermo
Win 29%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 40%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#6 Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
1 : 1 FT
RED Star FC 93
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#7 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge II
1 : 0 FT
Seraing United
✓ Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa
0 : 1 FT
Samsunspor
Win 24%
Draw 36%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#9 Eredivisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
2 : 2 FT
Twente
Win 25%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 53%
#10 2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
1 : 1 FT
Preußen Münster
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
1 : 2 FT
Dordrecht
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
2 : 1 FT
Amiens
✓ Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
#13 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
0 : 2 FT
GKS Katowice
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
KRC Genk II
2 : 0 FT
AS Eupen
Win 23%
Draw 22%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 57%
#15 Ligue 2 · France
Laval
0 : 1 FT
PAU
Win 30%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 44%
#16 Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
0 : 0 FT
Nancy
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#17 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
NEOM
3 : 0 FT
Damac
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 55%
#18 Serie A · Brazil
Botafogo
4 : 0 FT
Cruzeiro
✓ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Championship · England
Bristol City
0 : 5 FT
Derby
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 54%
#20 Ligue 2 · France
Montpellier
3 : 1 FT
Guingamp
Win 27%
Draw 24%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 30 January 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lens vs Le Havre at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.