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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Monday 21 April 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 21 April 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Burnley vs Sheffield Utd at 52% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 39%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Championship supplies six of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship · England
Burnley
2 : 1 FT
Sheffield Utd
✓ Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 68%
#2 League One · England
Wycombe
0 : 4 FT
Charlton
Win 40%
Draw 36%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 71%
#3 Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
2 : 3 FT
Bohemians
Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 61%
#4 League Two · England
Gillingham
1 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 29%
Draw 39%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS No 71%
#5 Championship · England
Leeds
6 : 0 FT
Stoke City
✓ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#6 Championship · England
Cardiff
1 : 1 FT
Oxford United
Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#7 Championship · England
Luton
3 : 1 FT
Bristol City
Win 29%
Draw 34%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 67%
#8 Championship · England
West Brom
1 : 3 FT
Derby
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
#9 Championship · England
Sunderland
0 : 1 FT
Blackburn
Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#10 Superettan · Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
4 : 0 FT
Umeå FC
✓ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#11 Championship · England
Millwall
3 : 1 FT
Norwich
✓ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#12 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#13 Serie A · Brazil
RB Bragantino
1 : 0 FT
Cruzeiro
✓ Win 53%
Draw 31%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#14 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa
2 : 1 FT
Lechia Gdansk
✓ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
#15 League One · England
Stockport County
2 : 1 FT
Huddersfield
✓ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
#16 Super League · Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
1 : 0 FT
FC Sion
✓ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 58%
#17 League Two · England
Barrow
0 : 0 FT
Tranmere
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
#18 Eliteserien · Norway
Fredrikstad
3 : 1 FT
Sandefjord
✓ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#19 League One · England
Wigan
1 : 0 FT
Rotherham
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#20 League Two · England
Port Vale
2 : 2 FT
Grimsby
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 21 April 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Burnley vs Sheffield Utd at 52% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.