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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 8 March 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 8 March 2025. Burnley vs Luton led the list at 67% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 67% down to 43%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Championship supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Burnley
4 : 0 FT
Luton
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 23%
Win 8%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 72% ✓ Burnley Clean Sheet 67%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
3 : 0 FT
Nacional
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#3 League One Β· England
Birmingham
1 : 0 FT
Lincoln
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#4 League One Β· England
Leyton Orient
1 : 2 FT
Northampton
Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Liverpool
3 : 1 FT
Southampton
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain
Celta Vigo
2 : 1 FT
Leganes
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 57%
#7 Championship Β· England
Bristol City
1 : 1 FT
Hull City
Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
#8 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Bangkok United
3 : 2 FT
Chiangrai United
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%
#9 League Two Β· England
Milton Keynes Dons
2 : 1 FT
Morecambe
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#10 Championship Β· England
West Brom
1 : 0 FT
QPR
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#11 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Charleroi
0 : 1 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 50%
Draw 33%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayern München
2 : 3 FT
VfL Bochum
Win 87%
Draw 9%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#13 Ligue 2 Β· France
Metz
5 : 1 FT
Annecy
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
#14 League Two Β· England
Gillingham
1 : 0 FT
Bradford
Win 28%
Draw 32%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
1 : 0 FT
Montpellier
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
#16 Premier League Β· Russia
Fakel
0 : 2 FT
Zenit
Win 20%
Draw 37%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#17 La Liga Β· Spain
Alaves
1 : 0 FT
Villarreal
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#18 Championship Β· England
Derby
2 : 1 FT
Blackburn
Win 29%
Draw 35%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 65%
#19 League Two Β· England
Harrogate Town
1 : 0 FT
Carlisle
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#20 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slovácko
2 : 1 FT
České Budějovice
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 8 March 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Burnley vs Luton at 67% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.