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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 14 February 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 14 February 2025. Cambuur vs FC OSS led the list at 53% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 32%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 2 supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Cambuur
1 : 1 FT
FC OSS
Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 65%
#2 Ligue 2 · France
Estac Troyes
0 : 1 FT
Lorient
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#3 Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
1 : 4 FT
Grenoble
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
#4 Ligue 2 · France
Ajaccio
3 : 0 FT
Laval
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#5 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
1 : 0 FT
Jong Ajax
✓ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 55%
#6 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Boavista
0 : 1 FT
Estrela
Win 32%
Draw 34%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#7 Serie B · Italy
Catanzaro
1 : 0 FT
Cittadella
✓ Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#8 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1 : 1 FT
Al Riyadh
Win 87%
Draw 8%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 85% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Ligue 2 · France
Clermont Foot
1 : 1 FT
Bastia
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#10 Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
0 : 0 FT
Drogheda United
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#11 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
0 : 1 FT
Telstar
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 53%
#12 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan
0 : 1 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#13 Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
3 : 1 FT
Derry City
✓ Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
#14 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
1 : 2 FT
Genk
Win 35%
Draw 36%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 55%
#15 Championship · England
QPR
4 : 0 FT
Derby
✓ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
#16 Premier Division · Ireland
Cork City
2 : 2 FT
Galway United
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 54%
#17 Serie A · Italy
Bologna
3 : 2 FT
Torino
✓ Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 56%
#18 Ligue 2 · France
PAU
0 : 5 FT
Rodez
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
#19 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
K. Lierse S.K.
0 : 0 FT
Zulte Waregem
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#20 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Cracovia Krakow
1 : 1 FT
Korona Kielce
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 14 February 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Cambuur vs FC OSS at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.