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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Wednesday 25 September 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

13 fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 25 September 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Universidad de Chile vs Huachipato at 55% in the Primera División. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 22%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 46%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primera División · Chile
Universidad de Chile
2 : 1 FT
Huachipato
✓ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 63% Universidad de Chile Clean Sheet 55%
#2 La Liga · Spain
Barcelona
1 : 0 FT
Getafe
✓ Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 59%
#3 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Mjallby AIF
1 : 1 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
#4 La Liga · Spain
Girona
0 : 0 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Serie A · Brazil
RB Bragantino
2 : 2 FT
Internacional
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#6 Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Vienna
2 : 2 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 54%
#7 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Motor Lublin
0 : 2 FT
Jagiellonia
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#8 Serie A · Brazil
Gremio
1 : 2 FT
Criciuma
Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Primera División · Chile
Coquimbo Unido
2 : 2 FT
Everton de Vina
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 53%
#10 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Sirius
0 : 1 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
#11 Primera División · Chile
Cobresal
0 : 1 FT
A. Italiano
Win 48%
Draw 22%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%
#12 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Djurgardens IF
2 : 1 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Primera División · Chile
Union Espanola
0 : 1 FT
O'Higgins
Win 49%
Draw 22%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 67%

Showing top 13 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 25 September 2024?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Universidad de Chile vs Huachipato at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.