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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Wednesday 18 September 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 14 fixtures on Wednesday 18 September 2024. Ostersunds FK vs GIF Sundsvall sits top on 58% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 17%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Superettan supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan Β· Sweden
Ostersunds FK
1 : 2 FT
GIF Sundsvall
Win 60%
Draw 28%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 67% Ostersunds FK Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
HFX Wanderers FC
2 : 2 FT
Pacific FC
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Betis
2 : 1 FT
Getafe
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Samsunspor
2 : 0 FT
Başakşehir
Win 25%
Draw 31%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#5 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Ajax
5 : 0 FT
Fortuna Sittard
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 33%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 59%
#6 Superettan Β· Sweden
Skövde AIK
2 : 2 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 55%
#7 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
3 : 1 FT
Vorskla Poltava
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#8 Superettan Β· Sweden
IK brage
0 : 0 FT
Utsikten
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#9 Superettan Β· Sweden
Osters IF
4 : 1 FT
Trelleborg
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 54%
#10 Superettan Β· Sweden
Orebro SK
1 : 0 FT
Sandviken
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Brann
2 : 0 FT
KFUM Oslo
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#12 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Gais
0 : 0 FT
Malmo FF
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#13 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Kristiansund BK
0 : 4 FT
Molde
Win 32%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Super League Β· Switzerland
Lausanne
1 : 2 FT
FC Lugano
Win 41%
Draw 22%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%

Showing top 14 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 18 September 2024?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ostersunds FK vs GIF Sundsvall at 58% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.