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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 1 September 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 1 September 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Cruzeiro vs Atletico Goianiense at 54% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 41%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cruzeiro
3 : 1 FT
Atletico Goianiense
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 63% Cruzeiro Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Pogon Szczecin
5 : 3 FT
Slask Wroclaw
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 31%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 62%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Juventude
1 : 3 FT
Internacional
Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 68%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 3 FT
Lechia Gdansk
Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 55%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
2 : 0 FT
Real Betis
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain
Alaves
2 : 0 FT
Las Palmas
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#7 Premier League Β· Russia
Krylia Sovetov
0 : 1 FT
Dinamo Makhachkala
Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#8 Serie B Β· Italy
Catanzaro
3 : 1 FT
Carrarese
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
#9 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Karviná
0 : 0 FT
Dukla Praha
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#10 Serie B Β· Italy
Spezia
2 : 1 FT
Cesena
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 53%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy
Juventus
0 : 0 FT
AS Roma
Win 46%
Draw 33%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#12 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Levadiakos
0 : 3 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 24%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 45%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#13 Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
2 : 2 FT
Monza
Win 40%
Draw 36%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 58%
#14 La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
0 : 0 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 27%
Draw 35%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#15 Premier League Β· Russia
FC Rostov
4 : 1 FT
Fakel
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#16 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge KV
3 : 0 FT
Cercle Brugge
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#17 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
KuPS
1 : 2 FT
Inter Turku
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#18 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Legia Warszawa
5 : 2 FT
Motor Lublin
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#19 Primera División Β· Chile
Cobreloa
0 : 1 FT
Colo Colo
Win 24%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#20 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Bangkok United
3 : 2 FT
Lamphun Warrior
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 1 September 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Cruzeiro vs Atletico Goianiense at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.