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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Thursday 27 June 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists nine fixtures on Thursday 27 June 2024. Bahia vs Vasco DA Gama sits top on 53% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 26%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie A supplies seven of the top 9, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the clean sheet market — 22%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Bahia
2 : 1 FT
Vasco DA Gama
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 26%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 60% Bahia Clean Sheet 53%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fortaleza EC
3 : 0 FT
Palmeiras
Win 23%
Draw 34%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Juventude
2 : 1 FT
Flamengo
Win 26%
Draw 31%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fluminense
0 : 1 FT
Vitoria
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Lillestrom
2 : 1 FT
KFUM Oslo
Win 17%
Draw 20%
Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil
Internacional
1 : 2 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 58%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Goianiense
1 : 1 FT
Gremio
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#8 Serie A Β· Brazil
Corinthians
1 : 1 FT
Cuiaba
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sandefjord
1 : 2 FT
Ham-Kam
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 9 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 27 June 2024?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Bahia vs Vasco DA Gama at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.