Sign in Register
🧀

Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 22 April 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 18 fixtures on Monday 22 April 2024. Orebro SK vs Varbergs BoIS FC sits top on 52% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 26%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the clean sheet market — 22%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan Β· Sweden
Orebro SK
3 : 1 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 64%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Sligo Rovers
0 : 0 FT
Galway United
Win 34%
βœ“ Draw 38%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS No 74%
#3 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Warta Poznań
5 : 2 FT
Stal Mielec
Win 34%
Draw 38%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 65%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
3 : 1 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain
Sevilla
2 : 1 FT
Mallorca
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
2 : 1 FT
VVV Venlo
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
1 : 3 FT
Bologna
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 57%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Sivasspor
2 : 2 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 20%
Draw 29%
Win 51%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#9 Primera División Β· Chile
Cobreloa
0 : 3 FT
A. Italiano
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#10 Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
3 : 4 FT
Leeds
Win 33%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
#11 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
0 : 0 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
1 : 2 FT
Inter
Win 31%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 58%
#13 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Farense
1 : 3 FT
Benfica
Win 29%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 45%
Under 2.5 54%
#14 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Minai
1 : 1 FT
Ruh Lviv
Win 25%
Draw 24%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#15 Premier League Β· Ukraine
FC Kharkiv
1 : 1 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#16 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
2 : 1 FT
Zorya Luhansk
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#17 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
2 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 67%
#18 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
1 : 2 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 18 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 22 April 2024?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Orebro SK vs Varbergs BoIS FC at 52% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.