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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 31 March 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 31 March 2024. Feyenoord vs Utrecht led the list at 51% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 38%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

La Liga supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord
4 : 2 FT
Utrecht
✓ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%
#2 La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
2 : 0 FT
Athletic Club
✓ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#3 La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
0 : 0 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 40%
Draw 34%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#4 Ligue 1 · France
Nice
1 : 2 FT
Nantes
Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
#5 Premier League · Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 2 FT
Dnipro-1
Win 28%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#6 La Liga · Spain
Girona
3 : 2 FT
Real Betis
✓ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#7 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Khon Kaen United
2 : 1 FT
Nakhon Pathom
✓ Win 46%
Draw 33%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#8 Premier League · Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
2 : 1 FT
FC Kharkiv
✓ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
#9 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové
2 : 1 FT
Karviná
✓ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
#10 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente
1 : 0 FT
Heracles
✓ Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 53%
#11 Premier League · Russia
Fakel
0 : 0 FT
FC Orenburg
Win 41%
Draw 35%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#12 Primera División · Chile
Deportes Copiapo
2 : 0 FT
Union La Calera
Win 25%
Draw 28%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#13 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Liège
5 : 1 FT
SK Beveren
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
#14 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United
6 : 0 FT
Chonburi FC
✓ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
#15 Bundesliga · Germany
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 3 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#16 Ligue 1 · France
Strasbourg
2 : 0 FT
Rennes
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#17 Premier League · Ukraine
Minai
2 : 2 FT
Oleksandria
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#18 Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz
0 : 1 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#19 Premier League · Russia
Rubin
2 : 1 FT
Akhmat
Win 30%
Draw 39%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 58%
#20 Bundesliga · Austria
TSV Hartberg
0 : 3 FT
Rapid Vienna
Win 30%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 38%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 31 March 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Feyenoord vs Utrecht at 51% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.