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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 16 February 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 16 February 2024. Torino vs Lecce led the list at 54% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 32%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
Torino
2 : 0 FT
Lecce
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 28%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Torino Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
4 : 0 FT
Salernitana
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Inter Clean Sheet 53%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
3 : 2 FT
Emmen
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 21%
Win 9%
BTTS No 58% Roda Clean Sheet 53%
#4 Championship Β· England
West Brom
0 : 2 FT
Southampton
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#5 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
2 : 0 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Radomiak Radom
0 : 4 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 26%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#7 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
2 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
#8 Serie B Β· Italy
Ascoli
0 : 0 FT
Cremonese
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#9 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Slask Wroclaw
0 : 1 FT
Stal Mielec
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#10 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lyon
1 : 0 FT
Nice
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#11 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Damac
0 : 1 FT
Al Shabab
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge II
1 : 3 FT
Zulte Waregem
Win 20%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Wehda Club
1 : 1 FT
Al Taee
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
2 : 2 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Köln
0 : 1 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 29%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#16 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
3 : 2 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 21%
Draw 22%
Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#17 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
1 : 0 FT
VVV Venlo
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%
#18 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Famalicao
2 : 1 FT
Rio Ave
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
#19 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 1 FT
Dundalk
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#20 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford
1 : 1 FT
Shelbourne
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 16 February 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Torino vs Lecce at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.