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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 12 January 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 15 fixtures on Friday 12 January 2024. Marseille vs Strasbourg sits top on 49% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 21%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 33%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 · France
Marseille
1 : 1 FT
Strasbourg
Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 57%
#2 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
0 : 5 FT
Willem II
Win 14%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 62%
#3 La Liga · Spain
Sevilla
2 : 3 FT
Alaves
Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#4 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Liège
1 : 0 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#5 Serie B · Italy
Catanzaro
5 : 3 FT
Lecco
✓ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 54%
#6 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
1 : 1 FT
RSC Anderlecht II
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 45%
#7 Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München
3 : 0 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
✓ Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 68%
#8 Championship · England
Hull City
1 : 2 FT
Norwich
Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#9 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Portimonense
1 : 0 FT
Farense
✓ Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
5 : 3 FT
De Graafschap
✓ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#11 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
1 : 2 FT
Heracles
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#12 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
2 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
✓ Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 71%
#13 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 1 FT
Jong AZ
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#14 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Cambuur
5 : 2 FT
MVV
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#15 Premier League · England
Burnley
1 : 1 FT
Luton
Win 36%
Draw 23%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 15 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 12 January 2024?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Marseille vs Strasbourg at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.