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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 6 January 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 6 January 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Exeter City vs Carlisle at 56% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 31%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League One supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One · England
Exeter City
2 : 1 FT
Carlisle
✓ Win 47%
Draw 34%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 71% Exeter City Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Serie A · Italy
Inter
2 : 1 FT
Hellas Verona
✓ Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
BTTS No 58%
#3 League One · England
Fleetwood Town
1 : 3 FT
Derby
Win 13%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#4 Serie A · Italy
Lecce
1 : 1 FT
Cagliari
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%
#5 League One · England
Cheltenham
2 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
Win 18%
Draw 26%
Win 56%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%
#6 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Arouca
0 : 3 FT
Benfica
Win 23%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 49%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#7 Süper Lig · Turkey
Rizespor
2 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
✓ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#8 League Two · England
Mansfield Town
0 : 1 FT
Crewe
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#9 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United
0 : 1 FT
Buriram United
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
#10 League Two · England
Bradford
2 : 4 FT
Crawley Town
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#11 League One · England
Burton Albion
1 : 1 FT
Wycombe
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#12 League Two · England
Barrow
1 : 0 FT
Tranmere
✓ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#13 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Farense
1 : 0 FT
GIL Vicente
✓ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 53%
#14 Serie A · Italy
Frosinone
2 : 3 FT
Monza
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 59%
#15 Serie A · Italy
Sassuolo
1 : 0 FT
Fiorentina
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 48%
#16 Primeira Liga · Portugal
SC Braga
1 : 1 FT
Vitória SC
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#17 League One · England
Port Vale
3 : 3 FT
Charlton
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Süper Lig · Turkey
Ankaragücü
0 : 1 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 27%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 44%
BTTS Yes 55%
#19 League Two · England
Harrogate Town
3 : 1 FT
Doncaster
✓ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 55%
#20 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estrela
1 : 1 FT
Vizela
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 6 January 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Exeter City vs Carlisle at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.