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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Monday 1 January 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 1 January 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Leicester vs Huddersfield at 48% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 33%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Championship supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship · England
Leicester
4 : 1 FT
Huddersfield
✓ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
BTTS No 55%
#2 League One · England
Reading
3 : 2 FT
Exeter City
✓ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#3 League Two · England
Forest Green
1 : 1 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 23%
Draw 29%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#4 Championship · England
Stoke City
0 : 0 FT
Ipswich
Win 28%
Draw 31%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#5 League One · England
Bolton
1 : 0 FT
Burton Albion
✓ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 58%
#6 Championship · England
Blackburn
2 : 2 FT
Rotherham
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#7 Championship · England
Leeds
3 : 0 FT
Birmingham
✓ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Premier League · England
Liverpool
4 : 2 FT
Newcastle
✓ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#9 League One · England
Carlisle
2 : 1 FT
Port Vale
Win 31%
Draw 32%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#10 Championship · England
Norwich
1 : 1 FT
Southampton
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
#11 League One · England
Northampton
1 : 0 FT
Cheltenham
✓ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#12 League One · England
Derby
2 : 3 FT
Peterborough
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 53%
#13 League Two · England
Sutton Utd
1 : 1 FT
Newport County
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#14 League One · England
Wycombe
3 : 2 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 59%
#15 League One · England
Cambridge United
0 : 2 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#16 Championship · England
Swansea
1 : 0 FT
West Brom
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#17 League One · England
Barnsley
1 : 1 FT
Wigan
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#18 League Two · England
Colchester
0 : 1 FT
Gillingham
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#19 Championship · England
QPR
1 : 2 FT
Cardiff
Win 34%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 37%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#20 League Two · England
Stockport County
0 : 2 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 1 January 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Leicester vs Huddersfield at 48% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.