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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 29 September 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 29 September 2023. Derry City vs UCD led the list at 59% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 34%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Pro League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the clean sheet market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
6 : 0 FT
UCD
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 17%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Derry City Clean Sheet 59%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
0 : 0 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 15%
Draw 26%
Win 59%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Al-Ittihad FC Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Super League Β· China
Nantong Zhiyun
0 : 1 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 9%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 74%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#4 Championship Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
0 : 3 FT
Sunderland
Win 14%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 59%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#5 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Stal Mielec
2 : 3 FT
Korona Kielce
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
#6 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Deinze
0 : 0 FT
SK Beveren
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#7 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
BG Pathum United
3 : 0 FT
Lamphun Warrior
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Groningen
0 : 3 FT
Den Bosch
Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#9 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hazm
1 : 3 FT
Al Taawon
Win 16%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
1 : 2 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 15%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#11 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Piast Gliwice
3 : 2 FT
Widzew Łódź
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
0 : 2 FT
Willem II
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
1 : 0 FT
Sevilla
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 55%
#14 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Shelbourne
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#15 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
3 : 1 FT
Sligo Rovers
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
1 : 0 FT
FC Porto
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#17 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Samsunspor
1 : 2 FT
Gaziantep FK
Win 39%
Draw 36%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 59%
#18 Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
2 : 1 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#19 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
0 : 3 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 30%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 58%
#20 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 0 FT
Al Shabab
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 29 September 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Derry City vs UCD at 59% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.