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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Wednesday 27 September 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Wednesday 27 September 2023. Olympiakos Piraeus vs Aris Thessalonikis sits top on 56% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 32%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
4 : 1 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 23%
Win 6%
BTTS No 58% Olympiakos Piraeus Clean Sheet 56%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
2 : 0 FT
Las Palmas
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Real Madrid Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Serie B Β· Italy
Parma
2 : 1 FT
Bari
Win 34%
Draw 41%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 64%
#4 Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAOK
3 : 0 FT
Volos NFC
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 32%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy
Napoli
4 : 1 FT
Udinese
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
#6 Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
1 : 2 FT
Sassuolo
Win 81%
Draw 12%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
HJK Helsinki
3 : 0 FT
Honka
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
3 : 0 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 57%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain
Valencia
0 : 1 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy
Cagliari
1 : 3 FT
AC Milan
Win 23%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 47%
Under 2.5 59%
#11 La Liga Β· Spain
Cadiz
0 : 0 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#12 Superettan Β· Sweden
Ostersunds FK
2 : 0 FT
IK brage
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
#13 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
0 : 0 FT
Gent
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#14 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Lugano
2 : 1 FT
Lausanne
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#15 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sao Paulo
2 : 1 FT
Coritiba
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy
Empoli
1 : 0 FT
Salernitana
Win 33%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#17 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Twente
1 : 0 FT
Vitesse
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
#18 Superettan Β· Sweden
Osters IF
1 : 1 FT
Helsingborg
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#19 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Ilves
2 : 1 FT
Mariehamn
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
#20 La Liga Β· Spain
Athletic Club
2 : 2 FT
Getafe
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 27 September 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Olympiakos Piraeus vs Aris Thessalonikis at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.