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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 25 August 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 25 August 2023. Henan Jianye vs SHANGHAI SIPG led the list at 51% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 34%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
3 : 1 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 12%
Draw 24%
Win 64%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 58%
#2 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
1 : 1 FT
Daejeon Citizen
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
#3 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
VPS
2 : 1 FT
Kooteepee
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
3 : 1 FT
Cork City
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 55%
#5 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panetolikos
0 : 0 FT
PAS Giannina
Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
0 : 1 FT
Emmen
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Konyaspor
2 : 0 FT
Gaziantep FK
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
1 : 1 FT
Damac
Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#9 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Stal Mielec
2 : 0 FT
Radomiak Radom
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#10 Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
3 : 0 FT
Luton
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
#11 La Liga Β· Spain
Las Palmas
0 : 0 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#12 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07
1 : 2 FT
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Celta Vigo
0 : 1 FT
Real Madrid
Win 24%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#14 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
KRC Genk II
0 : 3 FT
Club Brugge II
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#15 Super League Β· China
Shenzhen Ruby FC
1 : 2 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 22%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Serie B Β· Italy
Sampdoria
0 : 2 FT
Pisa
Win 31%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#17 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
4 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
#18 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
2 : 0 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 57%
#19 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Dundalk
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%
#20 Premier Division Β· Ireland
UCD
0 : 1 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 18%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 59%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 25 August 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Henan Jianye vs SHANGHAI SIPG at 51% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.