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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 20 August 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 20 August 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico-MG at 59% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 37%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie B supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the clean sheet market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
1 : 0 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 15%
Draw 32%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 70% Atletico-MG Clean Sheet 59%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cruzeiro
1 : 1 FT
Corinthians
Win 24%
βœ“ Draw 40%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 84% BTTS No 76% Corinthians Clean Sheet 56%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
2 : 0 FT
Cadiz
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dnipro-1
1 : 2 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
BTTS No 54%
#5 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
2 : 0 FT
Panserraikos
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 55%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy
Sudtirol
3 : 3 FT
Spezia
Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy
Parma
2 : 0 FT
Feralpisalo
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#8 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Legia Warszawa
1 : 0 FT
Korona Kielce
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 58%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy
Cittadella
1 : 0 FT
Reggiana
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 33%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#10 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Brann
5 : 1 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
2 : 1 FT
Farense
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#12 Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAOK
3 : 0 FT
Asteras Tripolis
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 53%
#13 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
2 : 0 FT
Mjallby AIF
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#14 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
KuPS
3 : 0 FT
SJK
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#15 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Sukhothai FC
0 : 0 FT
Trat FC
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
#16 Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAS Giannina
3 : 0 FT
Kifisia
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 55%
#17 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
BK Hacken
3 : 2 FT
Sirius
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#18 La Liga Β· Spain
Girona
3 : 0 FT
Getafe
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#19 Serie A Β· Italy
Lecce
2 : 1 FT
Lazio
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#20 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 0 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 20 August 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico-MG at 59% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.