Sign in Register
🧀

Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 13 May 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 13 May 2023. Manchester United vs Wolves sits top on 58% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 44%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England
Manchester United
2 : 0 FT
Wolves
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Manchester United Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Ligue 2 Β· France
Bastia
2 : 1 FT
Niort
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 65% Bastia Clean Sheet 56%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Portimonense
1 : 5 FT
Benfica
Win 18%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 54%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 66% Benfica Clean Sheet 54%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France
Metz
1 : 0 FT
Grenoble
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#5 Superettan Β· Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
0 : 0 FT
Landskrona BoIS
Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Sporting CP
2 : 1 FT
Maritimo
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS No 54%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stabaek
1 : 0 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 25%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gwangju FC
0 : 2 FT
Daegu FC
Win 40%
Draw 34%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
4 : 2 FT
SC Freiburg
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 34%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#10 Serie B Β· Italy
Ascoli
1 : 1 FT
Cosenza
Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
#11 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Inhulets
0 : 2 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 16%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#12 Serie B Β· Italy
Como
3 : 1 FT
Ternana
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
1 : 0 FT
Getafe
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 59%
#14 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad
2 : 2 FT
Girona
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
#15 Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
2 : 2 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%
#16 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
5 : 2 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
βœ“ Win 86%
Draw 10%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#17 Premier League Β· Russia
CSKA Moscow
3 : 0 FT
Torpedo Moskva
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 67%
#18 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Honka
0 : 1 FT
KuPS
Win 25%
Draw 41%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#19 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1 FT
Atromitos
Win 43%
Draw 37%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%
#20 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
1 : 3 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 19%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 54%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 13 May 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Manchester United vs Wolves at 58% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.