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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 25 April 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 25 April 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Bolton vs Accrington ST at 64% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 64% down to 30%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One · England
Bolton
0 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
Win 66%
Draw 25%
Win 10%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 70% Bolton Clean Sheet 64%
#2 Championship · England
Blackburn
0 : 1 FT
Burnley
Win 26%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#3 Superettan · Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
3 : 0 FT
Orebro SK
✓ Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#4 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Groningen
0 : 1 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 22%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 League Two · England
Grimsby
2 : 0 FT
Crewe
✓ Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#6 League One · England
Lincoln
0 : 1 FT
Burton Albion
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 League Two · England
Swindon Town
0 : 1 FT
Stevenage
Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 La Liga · Spain
Cadiz
0 : 1 FT
Osasuna
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#9 K League 1 · South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
1 : 0 FT
Suwon Bluewings
✓ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Super League · China
Meizhou Kejia
1 : 2 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 25%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 58%
#11 La Liga · Spain
Real Betis
0 : 0 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#12 League One · England
Plymouth
2 : 0 FT
Bristol Rovers
✓ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 58%
#13 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Pardubice
3 : 1 FT
Slovácko
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
#14 La Liga · Spain
Girona
4 : 2 FT
Real Madrid
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 55%
#15 Super League · China
Qingdao Jonoon
3 : 1 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 25%
Draw 31%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#16 League Two · England
Newport County
2 : 3 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#17 Premier League · England
Wolves
2 : 0 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#18 Serie A · Brazil
Bahia
1 : 2 FT
Botafogo
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 58%
#19 League Two · England
Mansfield Town
1 : 2 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 57%
#20 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Teplice
1 : 1 FT
Mlada Boleslav
Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 25 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bolton vs Accrington ST at 64% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.