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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 23 April 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 23 April 2023. SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 led the list at 52% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 41%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga · Germany
SC Freiburg
4 : 0 FT
FC Schalke 04
✓ Win 50%
Draw 35%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#2 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Widzew Łódź
2 : 3 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 16%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 55%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 61%
#3 Ligue 1 · France
Ajaccio
0 : 0 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 18%
Draw 29%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#4 La Liga · Spain
Barcelona
1 : 0 FT
Atletico Madrid
✓ Win 41%
Draw 34%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#5 La Liga · Spain
Mallorca
3 : 1 FT
Getafe
✓ Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 65%
#6 Serie A · Italy
AC Milan
2 : 0 FT
Lecce
✓ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#7 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Kalmar FF
2 : 0 FT
Halmstad
✓ Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#8 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
7 : 0 FT
AS Eupen
✓ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 Primera División · Chile
Magallanes
0 : 2 FT
Deportes Copiapo
Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#10 Serie B · Italy
Ternana
1 : 4 FT
Venezia
Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
#11 Eliteserien · Norway
Rosenborg
1 : 1 FT
Sandefjord
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
BTTS No 54%
#12 Serie A · Italy
Monza
3 : 2 FT
Fiorentina
Win 22%
Draw 28%
Win 50%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%
#13 Championship · England
West Brom
1 : 2 FT
Sunderland
Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 64%
#14 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
1 : 2 FT
Oostende
Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 66%
#15 Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK
1 : 2 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 38%
Draw 39%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 58%
#16 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica
1 : 0 FT
Estoril
✓ Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 67%
#17 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Santa Clara
1 : 1 FT
Chaves
Win 27%
Draw 30%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
#18 Premier League · Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
2 : 3 FT
Chornomorets
Win 26%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 45%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#19 Serie B · Italy
Pisa
1 : 2 FT
Bari
Win 36%
Draw 35%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
#20 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Sandhausen
2 : 2 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 19%
Draw 23%
Win 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 23 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 at 52% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.