Sign in Register
🧀

Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 14 January 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 14 January 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Leyton Orient vs Barrow at 54% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 39%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England
Leyton Orient
0 : 0 FT
Barrow
Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Leyton Orient Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lens
1 : 0 FT
Auxerre
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#3 League One Β· England
Bolton
3 : 0 FT
Portsmouth
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 33%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy
Pisa
1 : 2 FT
Cittadella
Win 58%
Draw 28%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 58%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
1 : 0 FT
Hellas Verona
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Seraing United
1 : 1 FT
Standard Liege
Win 23%
Draw 31%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 64%
#7 League Two Β· England
Gillingham
2 : 0 FT
Hartlepool
Win 22%
Draw 29%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#8 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
SC Braga
1 : 0 FT
Boavista
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy
Frosinone
2 : 1 FT
Modena
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 54%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy
Cremonese
2 : 3 FT
Monza
Win 27%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 64%
#11 League One Β· England
Cheltenham
2 : 3 FT
Derby
Win 31%
Draw 35%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 68%
#12 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vizela
3 : 0 FT
Maritimo
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#13 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Rio Ave
0 : 1 FT
Pacos Ferreira
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#14 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Adana Demirspor
3 : 1 FT
Ankaragücü
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#15 League Two Β· England
Mansfield Town
1 : 1 FT
Crewe
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#16 Championship Β· England
Reading
2 : 2 FT
QPR
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#17 Championship Β· England
Burnley
1 : 0 FT
Coventry
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#18 Premier League Β· England
Brentford
2 : 0 FT
Bournemouth
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Championship Β· England
Preston
0 : 4 FT
Norwich
Win 30%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#20 Serie B Β· Italy
Reggina
0 : 1 FT
Spal
Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 14 January 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Leyton Orient vs Barrow at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.