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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 7 January 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 7 January 2023. Leyton Orient vs Doncaster led the list at 59% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 34%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League Two supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two · England
Leyton Orient
1 : 0 FT
Doncaster
✓ Win 69%
Draw 21%
Win 10%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Leyton Orient Clean Sheet 59%
#2 La Liga · Spain
Mallorca
1 : 0 FT
Valladolid
✓ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#3 League One · England
Morecambe
2 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
✓ Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
#4 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Casa Pia
0 : 0 FT
FC Porto
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#5 Serie A · Italy
Juventus
1 : 0 FT
Udinese
✓ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
#6 Super League 1 · Greece
Lamia
0 : 3 FT
PAOK
Win 18%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 48%
Under 2.5 59%
#7 League Two · England
Rochdale
1 : 1 FT
Newport County
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
#8 Super League 1 · Greece
Levadiakos
1 : 3 FT
PAS Giannina
Win 37%
Draw 39%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 58%
#9 League Two · England
Salford City
2 : 1 FT
Northampton
Win 21%
Draw 25%
Win 54%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#10 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
2 : 2 FT
Al Baten
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 53%
#11 League Two · England
Tranmere
2 : 2 FT
Sutton Utd
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
#12 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC
0 : 0 FT
Rio Ave
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#13 Süper Lig · Turkey
Beşiktaş
2 : 1 FT
Kasımpaşa
✓ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
#14 League Two · England
Harrogate Town
1 : 3 FT
Colchester
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
#15 League Two · England
Crewe
0 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#16 League One · England
Bolton
0 : 0 FT
Plymouth
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#17 League Two · England
Mansfield Town
2 : 3 FT
Barrow
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#18 Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
2 : 1 FT
Sassuolo
✓ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#19 League One · England
Charlton
2 : 1 FT
Lincoln
✓ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#20 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
2 : 1 FT
Abha
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 7 January 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Leyton Orient vs Doncaster at 59% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.