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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Tuesday 27 December 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 27 December 2022. Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest sits top on 61% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 61% down to 17%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the clean sheet market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England
Manchester United
3 : 0 FT
Nottingham Forest
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 17%
Win 6%
✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Manchester United Clean Sheet 61%
#2 Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
3 : 0 FT
Meizhou Kejia
βœ“ Win 83%
Draw 12%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 56% ✓ Shandong Luneng Clean Sheet 54%
#3 League Two Β· England
Leyton Orient
0 : 0 FT
Stevenage
Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#4 Super League Β· China
Chengdu Better City
3 : 1 FT
Wuhan Zall
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#5 League One Β· England
Bolton
0 : 0 FT
Derby
Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#6 Super League Β· China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
3 : 0 FT
Hebei Zhongji
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
#7 Super League Β· China
Shenzhen Ruby FC
0 : 3 FT
Guangzhou R&F
Win 27%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#8 Championship Β· England
Burnley
3 : 0 FT
Birmingham
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe
4 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Super League Β· China
Tianjin Teda
0 : 3 FT
Dalian Aerbin
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
#11 Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
2 : 0 FT
Bournemouth
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 61%
#12 Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
1 : 1 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#13 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
St. Truiden
2 : 0 FT
Zulte Waregem
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#14 Championship Β· England
Reading
2 : 1 FT
Swansea
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Super League Β· China
Beijing Guoan
0 : 3 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 34%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 38%
BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Super League Β· China
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
1 : 4 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 26%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#17 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KVC Westerlo
3 : 3 FT
Antwerp
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#18 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Ankaragücü
1 : 2 FT
Ümraniyespor
Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#19 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
2 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
Win 36%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
#20 Super League Β· China
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 0 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
Win 33%
Draw 23%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 72%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 27 December 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest at 61% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.