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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 4 October 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 4 October 2022. Botafogo vs Palmeiras sits top on 57% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 29%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Championship supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the clean sheet market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A · Brazil
Botafogo
1 : 3 FT
Palmeiras
Win 20%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 46%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 72% Palmeiras Clean Sheet 57%
#2 League Two · England
Stevenage
3 : 0 FT
Sutton Utd
✓ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#3 League Two · England
Hartlepool
2 : 1 FT
Doncaster
Win 29%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 66%
#4 Super League · China
Shanghai Shenhua
1 : 0 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 35%
Draw 35%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#5 Championship · England
Cardiff
1 : 0 FT
Blackburn
✓ Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#6 League One · England
Plymouth
2 : 1 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
✓ Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#7 Championship · England
Sheffield Utd
0 : 1 FT
QPR
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#8 Primera División · Chile
Colo Colo
0 : 0 FT
U. Catolica
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
#9 Championship · England
Luton
3 : 3 FT
Huddersfield
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 54%
#10 League One · England
Ipswich
3 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
✓ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
0 : 0 FT
Rodez
Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#12 Championship · England
Sunderland
0 : 0 FT
Blackpool
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#13 Championship · England
Reading
1 : 1 FT
Norwich
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#14 Super League · China
Hangzhou Greentown
2 : 1 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
#15 League One · England
Burton Albion
0 : 1 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 25%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 50%
#16 Championship · England
Bristol City
0 : 0 FT
Coventry
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 57%
#17 League Two · England
Walsall
1 : 0 FT
Northampton
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 45%
#18 Super League · China
Dalian Aerbin
0 : 2 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 53%
#19 League One · England
Cheltenham
1 : 0 FT
Bolton
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#20 League Two · England
Swindon Town
1 : 0 FT
Newport County
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 4 October 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Botafogo vs Palmeiras at 57% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.