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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 30 September 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 30 September 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Dundalk vs Drogheda United at 54% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 30%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
2 : 0 FT
Drogheda United
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Dundalk Clean Sheet 54%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Athletic Club
4 : 0 FT
Almeria
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Athletic Club Clean Sheet 53%
#3 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 0 FT
UCD
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#4 League Two Β· England
Mansfield Town
2 : 2 FT
Hartlepool
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
1 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Veres Rivne
2 : 2 FT
Ruh Lviv
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#7 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Radomiak Radom
0 : 2 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#8 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Sporting CP
3 : 1 FT
GIL Vicente
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
KRC Genk II
0 : 2 FT
Dender
Win 27%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#10 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hannover 96
1 : 2 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 22%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 53%
#11 Ligue 1 Β· France
Angers
0 : 3 FT
Marseille
Win 22%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 54%
#12 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Wisla Plock
1 : 0 FT
Piast Gliwice
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
#13 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Finn Harps
1 : 1 FT
Shelbourne
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
#14 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#15 Premier League Β· Ukraine
FC Kharkiv
2 : 0 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#16 Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
0 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 34%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#17 Super League Β· China
Changchun Yatai
1 : 0 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%
#18 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07
1 : 2 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 66%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#19 Serie B Β· Italy
Cosenza
3 : 1 FT
Como
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
#20 Championship Β· England
Hull City
0 : 2 FT
Luton
Win 31%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 43%
BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 30 September 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Dundalk vs Drogheda United at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.