Sign in Register
🧀

Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Thursday 29 September 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Eight fixtures cleared the bar on Thursday 29 September 2022. Cuiaba vs America Mineiro sits top on 57% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 23%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie A supplies four of the top 8, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cuiaba
2 : 1 FT
America Mineiro
Win 36%
Draw 39%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 85% BTTS No 77% Cuiaba Clean Sheet 57%
#2 Super League Β· China
SHANGHAI SIPG
3 : 0 FT
Chengdu Better City
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 36%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Internacional
0 : 0 FT
RB Bragantino
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 57%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
0 : 1 FT
Palmeiras
Win 25%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil
Goias
0 : 1 FT
Botafogo
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#6 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Honka
3 : 1 FT
HJK Helsinki
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Super League Β· China
Dalian Aerbin
1 : 2 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Super League Β· China
Wuhan Zall
1 : 4 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
Win 29%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

Showing top 8 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 29 September 2022?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Cuiaba vs America Mineiro at 57% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.