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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 16 September 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 16 September 2022. Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Wehda Club led the list at 55% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 33%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3 : 0 FT
Al Wehda Club
✓ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Al-Hilal Saudi FC Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa
3 : 2 FT
Miedz Legnica
✓ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#3 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
3 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
✓ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#4 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Piast Gliwice
1 : 1 FT
Slask Wroclaw
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
#5 Serie A · Italy
Salernitana
1 : 2 FT
Lecce
Win 49%
Draw 33%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 59%
#6 Süper Lig · Turkey
Hatayspor
0 : 4 FT
Kayserispor
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#7 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
1 : 1 FT
Damac
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#8 Serie B · Italy
Brescia
1 : 0 FT
Benevento
✓ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#9 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht
0 : 0 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#10 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
4 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
✓ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#11 La Liga · Spain
Valladolid
0 : 1 FT
Cadiz
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#12 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Khon Kaen United
0 : 0 FT
Chiangrai United
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#13 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Abha
1 : 1 FT
Al-Fayha
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#14 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Portimonense
1 : 0 FT
Chaves
✓ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#15 Premier League · England
Aston Villa
1 : 0 FT
Southampton
✓ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
0 : 1 FT
Al Bataeh
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#17 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
3 : 3 FT
Roda
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 53%
#18 Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray
2 : 1 FT
Konyaspor
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 56%
#19 Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 1 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#20 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
1 : 2 FT
Almere City FC
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 16 September 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Wehda Club at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.