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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 3 July 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 3 July 2022. Shandong Luneng vs Guangzhou R&F sits top on 58% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 28%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the clean sheet market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
2 : 0 FT
Guangzhou R&F
βœ“ Win 82%
Draw 14%
Win 4%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Shandong Luneng Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Primera División Β· Chile
U. Catolica
2 : 0 FT
Coquimbo Unido
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 10%
✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ U. Catolica Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Super League Β· China
Hangzhou Greentown
0 : 1 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 26%
Draw 37%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
America Mineiro
1 : 0 FT
Goias
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Goianiense
1 : 2 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil
Palmeiras
0 : 2 FT
Atletico Paranaense
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#7 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daegu FC
0 : 0 FT
Suwon City FC
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#8 Primera División Β· Chile
D. La Serena
1 : 0 FT
O'Higgins
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#9 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Suwon Bluewings
0 : 0 FT
Incheon United
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#10 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Forge
0 : 1 FT
Atlético Ottawa
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#11 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF
1 : 0 FT
Hammarby FF
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Super League Β· China
Dalian Aerbin
2 : 2 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 57%
#13 Serie A Β· Brazil
Avai
1 : 2 FT
Cuiaba
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#14 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Ham-Kam
0 : 0 FT
Molde
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
#15 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
3 : 0 FT
IFK Varnamo
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 57%
#16 Super League Β· China
Wuhan Three Towns
4 : 2 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#17 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
1 : 1 FT
Rosenborg
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Primera División Β· Chile
Huachipato
2 : 2 FT
Curico Unido
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#19 Serie A Β· Brazil
Coritiba
2 : 1 FT
Fortaleza EC
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#20 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
0 : 1 FT
Sirius
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 3 July 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Shandong Luneng vs Guangzhou R&F at 58% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.