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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 17 April 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 17 April 2022. Konyaspor vs Gaziantep FK led the list at 51% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 40%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Konyaspor
4 : 1 FT
Gaziantep FK
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 58%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Ceara
1 : 3 FT
Botafogo
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 59%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Santos
2 : 1 FT
Coritiba
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 59%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Flamengo
3 : 1 FT
Sao Paulo
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
#5 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
1 : 2 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 21%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 51%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
#6 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
České Budějovice
2 : 1 FT
Bohemians 1905
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Athletic Club
0 : 2 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#8 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Bangkok United
2 : 2 FT
Khon Kaen United
Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cuiaba
0 : 1 FT
Fluminense
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#10 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slovan Liberec
2 : 1 FT
Karviná
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#11 Serie A Β· Brazil
RB Bragantino
4 : 0 FT
Atletico Goianiense
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France
Estac Troyes
1 : 1 FT
Strasbourg
Win 30%
Draw 34%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 63%
#13 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
K. Lierse S.K.
1 : 1 FT
Excelsior Virton
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
#14 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nice
2 : 1 FT
Lorient
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#15 Primera División Β· Chile
Colo Colo
2 : 1 FT
Cobresal
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#16 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
0 : 0 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Plzen
2 : 1 FT
Baník Ostrava
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#18 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
1 : 0 FT
PAOK
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#19 Premier League Β· England
West Ham
1 : 1 FT
Burnley
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%
#20 Serie A Β· Brazil
Internacional
2 : 1 FT
Fortaleza EC
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 17 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Konyaspor vs Gaziantep FK at 51% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.