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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 20 March 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 20 March 2022. Rennes vs Metz led the list at 56% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 41%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 · France
Rennes
6 : 1 FT
Metz
✓ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 64% Rennes Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Serie B · Italy
Pordenone
1 : 1 FT
Brescia
Win 14%
Draw 32%
Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%
#3 Championship · England
QPR
1 : 3 FT
Peterborough
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
BTTS No 58%
#4 Serie A · Italy
Juventus
2 : 0 FT
Salernitana
✓ Win 63%
Draw 26%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Willem II
2 : 2 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 17%
Draw 25%
Win 58%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 57%
#6 Ligue 1 · France
Marseille
2 : 1 FT
Nice
Win 24%
Draw 31%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#7 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica
2 : 1 FT
Estoril
✓ Win 56%
Draw 30%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#8 Serie A · Italy
Bologna
0 : 1 FT
Atalanta
Win 20%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#9 Super League · Switzerland
FC Lugano
3 : 1 FT
Lausanne
✓ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#10 Süper Lig · Turkey
Antalyaspor
4 : 1 FT
Giresunspor
✓ Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
#11 Ligue 1 · France
Angers
1 : 0 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 26%
Draw 30%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#12 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Portimonense
1 : 2 FT
SC Braga
Win 18%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 50%
Under 2.5 58%
#13 La Liga · Spain
Cadiz
1 : 0 FT
Villarreal
Win 25%
Draw 31%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#14 Ligue 1 · France
Lorient
0 : 0 FT
Strasbourg
Win 22%
Draw 26%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#15 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
1 : 0 FT
České Budějovice
✓ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 59%
#16 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Teplice
1 : 2 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
#17 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
St. Truiden
3 : 2 FT
Beerschot VA
✓ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 53%
#18 La Liga · Spain
Sevilla
0 : 0 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
#19 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom
1 : 1 FT
Stal Mielec
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#20 Serie B · Italy
Pisa
1 : 0 FT
Cittadella
Win 34%
Draw 39%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 20 March 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Rennes vs Metz at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.