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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Thursday 30 December 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

13 matches cleared our threshold on Thursday 30 December 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Stoke City vs Derby at 54% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 24%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Championship supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 38%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Stoke City
1 : 2 FT
Derby
Win 41%
Draw 36%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 71% Stoke City Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Ain
2 : 1 FT
Ajman
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 28%
Win 14%
#3 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
4 : 1 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 33%
Draw 41%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 60%
#4 League One Β· England
Sunderland
5 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#5 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Wasl FC
5 : 0 FT
Al Urooba
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 36%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 Premier League Β· England
Manchester United
3 : 1 FT
Burnley
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 58%
#7 Championship Β· England
Nottingham Forest
0 : 1 FT
Huddersfield
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#8 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Pacos Ferreira
2 : 1 FT
Santa Clara
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 55%
#9 Championship Β· England
Bristol City
1 : 2 FT
QPR
Win 34%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Arouca
0 : 6 FT
SC Braga
Win 34%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 38%
BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Dhafra
1 : 1 FT
Al Nasr
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#12 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
3 : 1 FT
Benfica
Win 29%
Draw 24%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#13 Championship Β· England
Bournemouth
3 : 0 FT
Cardiff
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 13 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 30 December 2021?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Stoke City vs Derby at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.