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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Thursday 16 December 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Thursday 16 December 2021. Liverpool vs Newcastle sits top on 54% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 21%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the clean sheet market — 27%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England
Liverpool
3 : 1 FT
Newcastle
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS No 58% Liverpool Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
1 : 1 FT
Everton
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 62%
#3 Super League Β· China
SHANGHAI SIPG
1 : 0 FT
Guangzhou R&F
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#4 Super League Β· China
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
1 : 1 FT
Hebei Zhongji
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
#5 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Inhulets
– : – CANC
Ruh Lviv
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0 : 2 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#7 Super League 1 Β· Greece
OFI
1 : 1 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#8 Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
2 : 1 FT
Beijing Guoan
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 54%
#9 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
4 : 2 FT
AS Eupen
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Ionikos
0 : 1 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 34%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 39%
BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Super League Β· China
Changchun Yatai
1 : 1 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#12 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Genk
4 : 2 FT
Charleroi
Win 33%
Draw 22%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

Showing top 12 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 16 December 2021?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Liverpool vs Newcastle at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.